Who will 538 predict to win the election?

politicsResolved

Harris, settled Nov 5, 2024 UTC

Harris

100.0%

Trump

0.0%

Final Harris 100¢Final Trump 0¢

Lifetime volume

$475.3K

Resolved

Harris

Settled

Nov 5, 2024 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Nov 4, 12:00 AM UTC	16.5%	16.5%
Nov 3, 12:00 AM UTC	62.0%	62.0%
Nov 2, 12:00 AM UTC	28.5%	28.5%
Nov 1, 12:00 AM UTC	31.0%	31.0%
Oct 31, 12:00 AM UTC	38.5%	38.5%
Oct 30, 12:00 AM UTC	9.0%	9.0%
Oct 29, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Oct 28, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Oct 27, 12:00 AM UTC	16.0%	16.0%
Oct 26, 12:00 AM UTC	33.5%	33.5%
Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC	34.5%	34.5%
Oct 24, 12:00 AM UTC	33.5%	33.5%
Oct 23, 12:00 AM UTC	37.0%	37.0%
Oct 22, 12:00 AM UTC	23.5%	23.5%
Oct 21, 12:00 AM UTC	39.5%	39.5%
Oct 20, 12:00 AM UTC	40.0%	40.0%
Oct 19, 12:00 AM UTC	50.5%	50.5%
Oct 18, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
Oct 17, 12:00 AM UTC	61.5%	61.5%
Oct 16, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
Oct 15, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC	63.0%	63.0%
Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC	67.0%	67.0%

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