Analytics
“Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, SaD Esports and NRG Academy. The SaD Esports price is the market's implied probability that SaD Esports wins. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Feb 17, 2026 UTC. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 13 daily price points from Feb 13, 2026 UTC to Feb 25, 2026 UTC (Yes between 24.5% and 71.5%); 1 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 135 recent public fills from 65 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
This market refers to the Valorant match between SaD Esports and NRG Academy in the VCL North America Playoffs, scheduled for February 16 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SaD Esports" if SaD Esports win the match against NRG Academy. This market will resolve to "NRG Academy" if NRG Academy win the match against SaD Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Main_Page.
Resolution source: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Main_Page
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/val-sad-nrga-2026-02-16
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the SaD Esports price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 13 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026
| Observed | SaD Esports price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Orbit 7F61 | SaD Esports | 2.48 |
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.