US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Name: US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled May 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$18.4M

Resolved

Settled

May 16, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest May 16, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
May 16, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
May 15, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
May 14, 12:00 AM UTC	1.3%	1.3%
May 13, 12:00 AM UTC	1.6%	1.6%
May 12, 12:00 AM UTC	1.5%	1.5%
May 11, 12:00 AM UTC	4.8%	4.8%
May 10, 12:00 AM UTC	16.4%	16.4%
May 9, 12:00 AM UTC	18.4%	18.4%
May 8, 12:00 AM UTC	18.9%	18.9%
May 7, 12:00 AM UTC	15.0%	15.0%
May 6, 12:00 AM UTC	5.5%	5.5%
May 5, 12:00 AM UTC	4.3%	4.3%
May 4, 12:00 AM UTC	4.5%	4.5%
May 3, 12:00 AM UTC	4.5%	4.5%
May 2, 12:00 AM UTC	8.5%	8.5%
May 1, 12:00 AM UTC	7.5%	7.5%
Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC	7.5%	7.5%
Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC	13.5%	13.5%

Analytics