What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 1.7¢ and No at 98.3¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 1.7% for Yes and 98.3% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 14, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket. As of market…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($480.49) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($378.47) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 12 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 99.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 4, 4:34 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/us-tornadoes-september-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?

Market referenceus-tornadoes-2026-09-28-b4Updated 1m ago

weatherActive

Closes Oct 14, 2026 UTCtornadoweather

Yes

1.7%

98.3%

Buy Yes 1.7¢Buy No 98.3¢

24h Volume

$480

Liquidity

$378

Closes

Oct 14, 2026 UTC

Yes price

1.7¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

1.7%

98.3%

24h volume

$480.49

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 1.7¢

Open in terminal$480.49 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

3.0%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

1.7%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

99%

Yes / No shares

593.99 / 593.99

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Ackee	No	252.62	99.0%	$252.62	Oct 1, 1:05 PM UTC
Bitter-Neighbour	No	212.87	97.5%	$212.87

US Tornadoes in September 2026

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “US Tornadoes in September 2026”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 1.7¢ and No at 98.3¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 1.7% for Yes and 98.3% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 14, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket. As of market…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($480.49) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($378.47) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Ackee

252.62

99.0%

$252.62

Oct 1, 1:05 PM UTC

Bitter-Neighbour

212.87

97.5%

$212.87

Trader	Current holding value
Ackee	$248.32
Bitter-Neighbour	$209.25
Indigo Signal 2966	$126.32
Swift Summit CA1B	$2.78
AJSV	$2.49
LornaPredicts	$2.11
merod	$1.56
flexer78	$0.57
korda77	$0.28
tukorama	$0.17
CheChe-0	$0.09
bjprolo	$0.05