What is the “Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Kamala Harris wins a solid red state? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 7 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic candidate for president wins the popular vote in any solid red state(s) in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Solid red states include: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia, Wyoming. Solid red states are defined using the Cook Political Report's ratings as of this market's inception. Further changes to cook political…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

211 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 8, 6:33 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/us-presidential-election-democrats-win-a-solid-red-state) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?

Market referenceus-presidential-election-democrats-win-a-solid-red-stateUpdated Nov 8, 2024 UTC

politicsResolved

No · settled Nov 7, 2024 UTCuptspt-politicspolitics

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$869.3K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 7, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 8, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 8, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

211

Wallets

211

Top 10 share

44%

Yes / No shares

165.41K / 7.36

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

329

Loaded notional

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
kungfutofu1	Yes	14.52K	13.8%	$14.52K
kryptowaluty	Yes	11.44K	22.7%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Kamala Harris wins a solid red state? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 7 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic candidate for president wins the popular vote in any solid red state(s) in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Solid red states include: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia, Wyoming. Solid red states are defined using the Cook Political Report's ratings as of this market's inception. Further changes to cook political…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

kungfutofu1

Yes

14.52K

13.8%

$14.52K

kryptowaluty

Yes

11.44K

22.7%

Trader	Current holding value
Kryzo	$6.25
Hateful-Container	$1.11
kungfutofu1	$0
kryptowaluty	$0
PS507	$0
MoonRideKingdom	$0
Jawz21007	$0
random228	$0
Maverick12	$0
Wheretoalex	$0
GambleOnDemocracy	$0
HerbertYardley	$0