What is the “US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedev” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedev Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Sinner on 5 Sep 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev are scheduled to play each other in a quarterfinal matchup in the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament on September 4, 2024, 8:30 PM. This market will resolve to “Sinner” if Jannik Sinner wins his match against Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinals of the US Open Men’s Singles tournament. This market will resolve to “Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins his match against Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinals of the US Open Men’s Singles tournament. If the match ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed beyond September 11, 2024, this market will resolve to 50-50. The…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

1 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 6, 4:53 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/us-open-sinner-vs-medvedev) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Sinner: US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedev

Market referenceus-open-sinner-vs-medvedevUpdated Sep 6, 2024 UTC

Resolved

Sinner · settled Sep 5, 2024 UTC

Sinner

100.0%

Medvedev

0.0%

Final Sinner 100¢Final Medvedev 0¢

Lifetime volume

$201.6K

Resolved

Sinner

Settled

Sep 5, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Sep 6, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Sep 6, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Sinner

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

15 / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

272

Wallets

140

Loaded notional

$126.78K

Sinner sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+2.5 pts

Range

70.5% - 73.0%

Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC to Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
daverer	sell	Sinner	99.9%	1.38	Sep 5, 4:48 AM UTC
BrokenIKey	sell	Sinner

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedev” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedev Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Sinner on 5 Sep 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev are scheduled to play each other in a quarterfinal matchup in the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament on September 4, 2024, 8:30 PM. This market will resolve to “Sinner” if Jannik Sinner wins his match against Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinals of the US Open Men’s Singles tournament. This market will resolve to “Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins his match against Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinals of the US Open Men’s Singles tournament. If the match ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed beyond September 11, 2024, this market will resolve to 50-50. The…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

daverer

sell

Sinner

99.9%

1.38

Sep 5, 4:48 AM UTC

BrokenIKey

sell

Sinner