US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Name: US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.9M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 15, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC	99.9%	99.9%
Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC	81.5%	81.5%
Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC	67.5%	67.5%
Jun 12, 12:00 AM UTC	69.5%	69.5%
Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC	34.5%	34.5%
Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC	42.5%	42.5%
Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC	42.5%	42.5%
Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC	42.5%	42.5%
Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC	38.5%	38.5%
Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC	41.5%	41.5%
Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC	54.5%	54.5%
Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC	60.5%	60.5%
Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC	57.5%	57.5%
Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC	60.5%	60.5%
Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
May 31, 12:00 AM UTC	66.5%	66.5%
May 30, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
May 29, 12:00 AM UTC	77.5%	77.5%
May 28, 12:00 AM UTC	67.0%	67.0%
May 27, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
May 26, 12:00 AM UTC	80.5%	80.5%

Analytics