What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Hecher Sosa on 15 Mar 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Luan Lacerda" if Luan Lacerda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Hecher Sosa at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Hecher Sosa" if Hecher Sosa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

65 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 16, 1:23 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-lua3-hec5-2026-03-14) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Hecher Sosa: UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa…

Market referenceufc-lua3-hec5-2026-03-14Updated Mar 16, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Hecher Sosa · settled Mar 15, 2026 UTC

Luan Lacerda

0.0%

Hecher Sosa

100.0%

Final Luan Lacerda 0¢Final Hecher Sosa 100¢

Resolved

Hecher Sosa

Settled

Mar 15, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

3h ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Mar 16, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Hecher Sosa

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

95%

Yes / No shares

120.09K / 1.45

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

184

Loaded notional

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
SammySledge	Luan Lacerda	65.96K	37.0%	$65.96K
gopfan2	Luan Lacerda	20K	37.0%

UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims) Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Hecher Sosa on 15 Mar 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Luan Lacerda" if Luan Lacerda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Hecher Sosa at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Hecher Sosa" if Hecher Sosa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

SammySledge

Luan Lacerda

65.96K

37.0%

$65.96K

gopfan2

Luan Lacerda

20K

37.0%

Trader	Current holding value
Crimson Atlas 9297	$1.45
SammySledge	$0
gopfan2	$0
jizzbucket57	$0
CemeterySun	$0
leo0770	$0
c4c4	$0
agentikk	$0
hi774c	$0
Automatic-Estate	$0
RipNDip	$0
Preballin	$0