- What is the “Trump tariffs Apple before July?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Trump tariffs Apple before July? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved No on 2 Jul 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a specific tariff on any products produced by Apple by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariffs specifically targeting Apple products will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.), country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from a specific country, e.g., Canada or China), or sector-specific tariffs (tariffs on all imports of electronics using chips manufactured in Taiwan) will not count…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.