What is the “Trump negative approval before May?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Trump negative approval before May? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 7 Mar 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

4 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 8, 6:06 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/trump-negative-approval-before-may) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Trump negative approval before May?

Market referencetrump-negative-approval-before-mayUpdated Mar 8, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Mar 7, 2025 UTCtrump-presidencytrump

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$84.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 7, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Mar 8, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Mar 8, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

0 / 576.12

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

381

Wallets

162

Loaded notional

$51K

Yes buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+55 pts

Range

44.0% - 99.4%

Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC to Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC	99.4%	99.4%
Mar 6, 12:00 AM UTC	90.4%	90.4%
Mar 5, 12:00 AM UTC	95.5%	95.5%

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Trump and the White House oddsWill Trump be impeached?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Trump negative approval before May?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Trump negative approval before May? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 7 Mar 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC

99.4%

Mar 6, 12:00 AM UTC

90.4%

Mar 5, 12:00 AM UTC

95.5%