What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Michael on 5 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend. If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The "Daily Box Office…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

55 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 5, 8:48 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/the-devil-wears-prada-2-vs-michael-opening-weekend-box-office) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Michael: The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening…

Market referencethe-devil-wears-prada-2-vs-michael-opening-weekend-box-officeUpdated May 5, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Michael · settled May 5, 2026 UTC

The Devil Wears Prada 2

0.0%

Michael

100.0%

Final The Devil Wears Prada 2 0¢Final Michael 100¢

Lifetime volume

$65.5K

Resolved

Michael

Settled

May 5, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 5, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Michael

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

83%

Yes / No shares

15.05K / 14.8

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

437

Wallets

218

Loaded notional

$29.63K

The Devil Wears Prada 2 buy at 2.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-69 pts

Range

0.1% - 69.5%

Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC to May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
May 5, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
May 4, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
May 3, 12:00 AM UTC	0.5%	0.5%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Michael on 5 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend. If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The "Daily Box Office…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

0.1%

May 4, 12:00 AM UTC

0.1%

May 3, 12:00 AM UTC

0.5%

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

Questions about this market

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

Questions about this market