What is the “Stirling vs. Erslan” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Stirling vs. Erslan It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Stirling on 11 May 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on the outcomes and results of the UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena event.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

3 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jun 30, 7:12 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-315-muhammad-vs-della-maddalena) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Stirling: Stirling vs. Erslan

Market referencestirling-vs-erslan-1Updated Jun 30, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Stirling · settled May 11, 2025 UTC

Stirling

100.0%

Erslan

0.0%

Final Stirling 100¢Final Erslan 0¢

Lifetime volume

$36.8K

Resolved

Stirling

Settled

May 11, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

May 12, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jun 30, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Stirling

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

0 / 1.37K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

197

Wallets

144

Loaded notional

$18.77K

Stirling sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 11, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+1.0 pts

Range

72.0% - 76.0%

May 6, 12:00 AM UTC to May 11, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Misty Oracle 531C	Erslan	980	26.0%	$980	May 9, 10:49 AM UTC
KushRR	Erslan	365.43	25.4%

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Stirling vs. Erslan” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Stirling vs. Erslan It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Stirling on 11 May 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on the outcomes and results of the UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena event.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?: 3 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Misty Oracle 531C

Erslan

980

26.0%

$980

May 9, 10:49 AM UTC

KushRR

Erslan

365.43

25.4%

Trader	Current holding value
Misty Oracle 531C	$0
KushRR	$0
Neon Raven 49FF	$0