Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?

Name: Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? — implied probability history
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Active

Closes Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

48.0%

52.0%

Yes costs 48¢No costs 52¢

24h Volume

$33

Total volume

$33

Liquidity

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis
adfytjrgf	Yes	5	3.0%	$0.15
riskmanagementno1priority	No	5	10.0%	$0.5

2 of 2 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
riskmanagementno1priority	$2.6
adfytjrgf	$2.4

Analytics