Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?

Name: Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? — implied probability history
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Active

Closes Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

49.5%

50.5%

Yes costs 49.5¢No costs 50.5¢

24h Volume

$252

Total volume

$252

Liquidity

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm	sell	Yes	1.3%	71.7	Aug 6, 1:41 PM UTC
Unselfish-Banana	sell	Yes	7.0%	1.45	Jul 20, 3:25 PM UTC
Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm	buy	Yes	94.0%	8.84	Jul 20, 12:07 PM UTC
Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm	buy	Yes	93.5%	12.71	Jul 20, 12:07 PM UTC
Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm	buy	Yes	94.0%	12.64	Jul 20, 12:07 PM UTC
Unselfish-Banana	buy	Yes	94.0%	1.45	Jul 20, 12:05 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	sell	Yes	8.0%	12	Jul 20, 12:05 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	buy	Yes	95.0%	10	Jul 20, 12:04 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	buy	Yes	95.0%	2	Jul 20, 12:04 PM UTC
Unselfish-Banana	sell	Yes	8.0%	1.44	Jul 20, 12:04 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	sell	Yes	8.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:04 PM UTC
Unselfish-Banana	buy	Yes	95.0%	1.44	Jul 20, 12:04 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	buy	Yes	95.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:03 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	sell	Yes	8.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:03 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	sell	Yes	8.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:03 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	buy	Yes	95.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:02 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	buy	Yes	95.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:02 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	sell	Yes	6.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:02 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	sell	Yes	6.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:02 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	buy	Yes	95.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:02 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	buy	Yes	95.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:02 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	sell	Yes	6.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:02 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	sell	Yes	6.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:02 PM UTC
Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm	buy	Yes	95.0%	12.51	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm	buy	Yes	95.0%	12.51	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm	buy	Yes	95.0%	12.51	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	buy	Yes	95.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Unselfish-Banana	sell	Yes	6.0%	1.46	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	buy	Yes	95.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	sell	Yes	6.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	sell	Yes	6.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	buy	Yes	95.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	buy	Yes	95.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	sell	Yes	6.0%	1.57	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	sell	Yes	6.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:01 PM UTC
Unselfish-Banana	buy	Yes	95.0%	1.46	Jul 20, 12:00 PM UTC
Coral Oracle 1EC6	buy	Yes	95.0%	1.58	Jul 20, 12:00 PM UTC
Jade Quasar 05E4	buy	Yes	95.0%	5	Jul 20, 12:00 PM UTC

38 of the 38 most recent trades.Subscribers can pull the full trade history where Vultax has archived it.

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