What is the “Speed Chess QF: Nakamura vs So” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Speed Chess QF: Nakamura vs So Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Nakamura on 18 Nov 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

The 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship is currently scheduled to take place from October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nakamura" if Hikaru Nakamura wins against Wesley So in their 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship quarterfinal match. This market will resolve to "So" if Wesley So wins against Hikaru Nakamura in their 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship quarterfinal match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies. If the…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

16 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 19, 12:34 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/speed-chess-qf-nakamura-vs-so) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Nakamura: Speed Chess QF: Nakamura vs So

Market referencespeed-chess-qf-nakamura-vs-soUpdated Nov 19, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Nakamura · settled Nov 18, 2025 UTC

Nakamura

100.0%

0.0%

Final Nakamura 100¢Final So 0¢

Lifetime volume

$25.5K

Resolved

Nakamura

Settled

Nov 18, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 19, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 19, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Nakamura

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

98%

Yes / No shares

0 / 3.55K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

154

Wallets

Loaded notional

$22.2K

Nakamura buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+30 pts

Range

70.0% - 100.0%

Nov 1, 12:00 AM UTC to Nov 18, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Nov 18, 12:00 AM UTC	100.0%	100.0%
Nov 17, 12:00 AM UTC	84.0%	84.0%
Nov 16, 12:00 AM UTC	86.0%	86.0%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Speed Chess QF: Nakamura vs So” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Speed Chess QF: Nakamura vs So Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Nakamura on 18 Nov 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: The 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship is currently scheduled to take place from October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nakamura" if Hikaru Nakamura wins against Wesley So in their 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship quarterfinal match. This market will resolve to "So" if Wesley So wins against Hikaru Nakamura in their 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship quarterfinal match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies. If the…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Nov 18, 12:00 AM UTC

100.0%

Nov 17, 12:00 AM UTC

84.0%

Nov 16, 12:00 AM UTC

86.0%