Republika Srpska declares independence?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republika Srpska declares independence from Bosnia and Herzegovina through an official government act or recognized referendum before June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Republika Srpska's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Bosnia and Herzegovina will qualify. If no conclusive evidence of an independence declaration is available by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" Official resolution will be based on statements from the government of the Republika Srpska or of Bosnia and Herzegovina, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.