Analytics
“Rainbow Six Siege: Rival Esports vs Man eSports LFO (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Playoffs” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Rival Esports and Man eSports LFO. The Rival Esports price is the market's implied probability that Rival Esports wins. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved Rival Esports on 14 Jul 2026. $5.35K traded over its life. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 8 daily price points from Jul 7, 2026 UTC to Jul 14, 2026 UTC (Yes between 41.5% and 58.0%); 12 wallets still holding shares after settlement, the largest ten holding 99.3% of the loaded shares; 48 recent public fills from 32 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Lower bracket semifinal match between Rival Esports and Man eSports LFO in the Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rival Esports" if Rival Esports win the match against Man eSports LFO. This market will resolve to "Man eSports LFO" if Man eSports LFO win the match against Rival Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page
Official listing:
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Rival Esports price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 7 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–65%
| Observed | Rival Esports price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 42.5% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 42.5% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Prediqa | Man ESports LFO | 322.13 |
| GilgameshTrades | Man ESports LFO | 184.77 |
| pcjones |
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Man ESports LFO |
| 100.68 |
| KingRhyze | Man ESports LFO | 45.67 |
| JohaSA | Man ESports LFO | 34.48 |
| Quiet Atlas C41A | Man ESports LFO | 30 |
| sssssmm | Man ESports LFO | 25 |
| anything12345 | Man ESports LFO | 17.54 |
| Neat-Robot | Man ESports LFO | 14 |
| czc663 | Man ESports LFO | 9.26 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
