Analytics
“Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Zero Zero Sete (BO3)” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Black Dragons e-Sports and Zero Zero Sete. It belongs to the event “Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Zero Zero Sete (BO3) - Six Invitational South America LCQ Playoffs”. The Black Dragons e-Sports price is the market's implied probability that Black Dragons e-Sports wins. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved Black Dragons e-Sports on 17 Jan 2026. $1.26K traded over its life. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 5 daily price points from Jan 13, 2026 UTC to Jan 17, 2026 UTC (Yes between 50.0% and 95.0%); 11 wallets still holding shares after settlement, the largest ten holding 99.9% of the loaded shares; 23 recent public fills from 15 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Black Dragons e-Sports and Zero Zero Sete in the Six Invitational South America LCQ Playoffs, scheduled for January 16 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Black Dragons e-Sports" if Black Dragons e-Sports win the match against Zero Zero Sete. This market will resolve to "Zero Zero Sete" if Zero Zero Sete win the match against Black Dragons e-Sports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page.
Resolution source: https://www.twitch.tv/rainbow6
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/r6siege-bd-zzs-2026-01-16
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Black Dragons e-Sports price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 13 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026
| Observed | Black Dragons e-Sports price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 51.0% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | 95.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Zero Zero Sete | 315 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Zero Zero Sete | 219 |
| Bold Scout BD7E |
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Zero Zero Sete |
| 112 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Zero Zero Sete | 89 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Zero Zero Sete | 77 |
| paas2 | Zero Zero Sete | 30 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Zero Zero Sete | 24 |
| TheFinalPercent | Zero Zero Sete | 10 |
| Rrr4567 | Zero Zero Sete | 5 |
| Doting-Corsage | Zero Zero Sete | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
