Market referencenothing-ever-happens-julyUpdated Jul 7, 2025 UTC
Resolved
No · settled Jul 5, 2025 UTC
Yes
0.0%
No
100.0%
Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢
Lifetime volume
$119.6K
Resolved
No
Settled
Jul 5, 2025 UTC
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
Jun 12, 2026 UTC
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Jul 7, 2025 UTC
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Resolved
Order book
Captured book available
Final outcome
No
The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
26
Wallets
26
Top 10 share
97%
Yes / No shares
4.33K / 0
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
500
Wallets
279
Loaded notional
$38.37K
Yes buy at 0.1%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jul 5, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
3
Move
-10 pts
Range
49.0% - 59.5%
Jul 3, 12:00 AM UTC to Jul 5, 12:00 AM UTC
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jul 5, 12:00 AM UTC
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Jul 5, 12:00 AM UTC
49.0%
49.0%
Jul 4, 12:00 AM UTC
58.5%
58.5%
Jul 3, 12:00 AM UTC
59.5%
59.5%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Nothing Ever Happens: July” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Nothing Ever Happens: July Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?
It resolved No on 5 Jul 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Elon Musk creates a new political party -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -A nuclear weapon detonates Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+2.png
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?
26 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 7, 12:26 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-july) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
