- What is the “Bills vs. Lions” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Bills vs. Lions Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved Bills on 16 Dec 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 15 at 4:25PM ET: If the Buffalo Bills win, the market will resolve to “Bills”. If the Detroit Lions win, the market will resolve to “Lions”. If the game is not completed by December 22, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who still holds shares in this market?
- 14 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
