Hawks vs. Magic

Name: Hawks vs. Magic — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

Hawks, settled Apr 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.0M

Resolved

Hawks

Settled

Apr 2, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Countryside	Magic	197.76K	39.7%	$78.45K
johnny234	Magic	125.13K	44.8%	$56K
Ivory Ledger 752C	Magic	77.11K	39.1%	$30.16K
YT-JuicySlots	Magic	75.47K	44.8%	$33.78K
Pricey-Median	Magic	41.71K	0.1%	$42.96	Apr 2, 1:19 AM UTC
212121212121212121212	Magic	29.5K	44.8%	$13.2K
NBALONGSHOTS451	Magic	25K	0.1%	$25
quinniga	Magic	25K	43.6%	$10.9K
123abc	Magic	24.12K	10.0%	$2.41K
one8tyfive	Magic	18.22K	1.9%	$350.87	Apr 2, 1:17 AM UTC
maxgreen	Magic	16.96K	42.4%	$7.19K
crag1	Magic	15K	44.0%	$6.6K
Bumpy-Yoyo	Magic	12.5K	37.0%	$4.62K
benwyatt	Magic	9.9K	38.5%	$3.81K
MinCash	Magic	9.85K	0.1%	$9.99	Apr 2, 1:19 AM UTC
ferrariChampions2026	Magic	9.28K	24.1%	$2.23K
CemeterySun	Magic	6.08K	42.0%	$2.55K
jizzbucket57	Magic	6K	39.0%	$2.34K
Mediocre-Calculator	Magic	5.59K	44.8%	$2.5K
NebulaBite	Magic	5.3K	0.3%	$13.99
HeHe2s	Magic	5.17K	0.1%	$5.32	Apr 2, 1:17 AM UTC
jiangyutian	Magic	4K	39.0%	$1.56K
Stupidity	Magic	3.44K	40.7%	$1.4K
beldewoute	Magic	2.5K	43.0%	$1.08K
cumulus33	Magic	1.97K	42.7%	$840
Zogcoded	Magic	1.85K	32.5%	$600
Albertomk	Magic	1.77K	40.7%	$723
muskl	Magic	1.7K	43.0%	$731
Tell8	Magic	1.37K	10.9%	$150
torta.tech	Magic	1.25K	48.2%	$602
vchjgfhjgdcf	Magic	1.2K	39.7%	$478.21
capo007	Magic	1.13K	3.0%	$34.27	Apr 2, 12:42 AM UTC
abelxofx	Magic	1.06K	3.4%	$36	Apr 2, 1:17 AM UTC
Cold-Knock	Magic	982	40.7%	$400
Rcord-Sports	Magic	981.4	38.7%	$380
Droopy-Relish	Magic	929.57	44.8%	$416
konkret	Magic	804.71	12.4%	$100
XEN-1	Magic	799.99	1.0%	$8
BigDookie	Magic	774.79	38.7%	$300
nikola17	Magic	582.86	38.6%	$225.13
mafi7al	Magic	574.19	44.8%	$256.96
double6	Magic	549.92	40.7%	$224
gezishan888	Magic	520.46	40.7%	$212
Digital-Hoof	Magic	500	0.3%	$1.5
36oldtiger	Magic	500	1.0%	$5
Early-Ash	Magic	490.85	39.7%	$195
vcxvada	Magic	490.85	39.7%	$195
oldfishreborn	Magic	482.18	31.1%	$150
arbfinder2026	Magic	478.81	44.8%	$214.28
BruceW5yne	Magic	402.22	44.8%	$180
JuanFerCarbaLama	Magic	387.39	38.7%	$150
lavarball	Magic	361.69	11.2%	$40.45
37City	Magic	361.34	42.5%	$153.53
Harmful-Cartel	Magic	343.6	39.7%	$136.5
sedtgryht	Magic	321.14	39.7%	$127.58
leverauxdubai	Magic	308.12	45.8%	$140.98
Trumptoshi	Magic	303.94	41.1%	$124.82
Delectable-Episode	Magic	296.47	39.7%	$117.78
BAYMAX-	Magic	294.96	44.8%	$132
htrhthtr	Magic	294.6	40.7%	$120
Breezezzz	Magic	294.42	38.7%	$114
hfsxgdsgsd	Magic	287.77	39.7%	$114.32
D2z	Magic	265.45	11.3%	$30
jujubim	Magic	265.14	40.7%	$108
Knowing-Narrative	Magic	260.56	38.4%	$99.94
Windy-Accord	Magic	258.88	51.8%	$134
HardWorkerHoward	Magic	245.5	40.7%	$100
Cxpaw	Magic	236.94	21.5%	$51	Apr 2, 12:44 AM UTC
viperovo	Magic	229.65	38.7%	$88.92
Weary-Calculation	Magic	227.75	39.7%	$90.48
Bebopicks	Magic	223.45	44.8%	$100
Rapid Raven 57E6	Magic	211.33	44.8%	$94.57
AlexStavki888	Magic	200.33	40.7%	$81.6
0xRocket666	Magic	200	0.1%	$0.2
shuijiao3	Magic	197.26	38.7%	$76.38
Lux66	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
NyQ	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
Vex22	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
JaxRQ	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
Eaglefll	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
Neo666	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
LambdaV	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
DeltaNN	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
RynN	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
uzi6	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
botza123	Magic	196.28	38.7%	$76
ock57	Magic	194.6	10.3%	$20
Mountainous-Vegetable	Magic	194.03	0.5%	$1	Apr 2, 12:42 AM UTC
Rowdy-Bead	Magic	194.03	0.5%	$1	Apr 2, 1:03 AM UTC
dm2511	Magic	194.03	0.5%	$1	Apr 2, 12:42 AM UTC
kani19	Magic	179.84	44.8%	$80.48
Squiggly-Rowing	Magic	178.76	44.8%	$80
LianePerla	Magic	173.18	44.8%	$77.5
villion	Magic	158.58	39.7%	$63
ovoppa	Magic	140.96	39.7%	$56
stol777	Magic	139.76	40.8%	$57
GackedUp	Magic	132.72	11.3%	$15
wangcc	Magic	128.15	40.7%	$52.2
Bright-Signal	Magic	122.75	40.7%	$50
Afraid-Carbon	Magic	121.15	43.7%	$53
boringape	Magic	119.44	46.5%	$55.5
ilya11	Magic	117.98	44.8%	$52.8
ekbalint	Magic	111.73	44.8%	$50
Nerdbet	Magic	111.73	44.8%	$50
Spanish-Nougat	Magic	107.81	0.9%	$1	Apr 2, 12:52 AM UTC
cucui221	Magic	105.72	39.7%	$42
CHI11mind	Magic	100	43.0%	$43
Giveme5	Magic	100	38.0%	$38
honey.k	Magic	99.24	32.8%	$32.5
schoolmrs	Magic	98.2	40.7%	$40
goodnightq	Magic	98.2	40.7%	$40
beautifulQ	Magic	98.2	40.7%	$40
StormRider	Magic	98.17	39.7%	$39
PolyDegener	Magic	97.03	1.0%	$1	Apr 2, 12:45 AM UTC
kikoko	Magic	95.19	44.8%	$42.6
Jumpy-Mrna	Magic	89.38	44.8%	$40
64hand	Magic	87.81	38.7%	$34
name154	Magic	82.64	38.7%	$32
Costly-Parsnip	Magic	81.13	12.3%	$10
61jinksg	Magic	80.06	38.7%	$31
9wasi	Magic	78.68	44.8%	$35.21
b2ccoxox	Magic	75.52	39.7%	$30
30grag	Magic	74.9	38.7%	$29
hruwurhej	Magic	73.65	40.7%	$30
TS00	Magic	72.58	44.0%	$31.94
RENJ1ECOVB	Magic	70.48	39.7%	$28
51sister	Magic	67.15	38.7%	$26
Long-Guitar	Magic	67.04	44.8%	$30
d345	Magic	61.82	51.8%	$32
x55	Magic	61.07	50.8%	$31
vinist	Magic	58.1	44.8%	$26
Affectionate-Understanding	Magic	57.96	51.8%	$30
perfect01	Magic	57.25	45.5%	$26.05
williewangwx	Magic	56.02	39.8%	$22.27
0xGedis	Magic	55.86	44.8%	$25
wokao8081	Magic	54.64	45.8%	$25
Lasting-Godparent	Magic	51.39	44.8%	$23
triklozoid	Magic	50	0.1%	$0.05
Amber Beacon 8279	Magic	50	43.0%	$21.5
Mepppo	Magic	49.99	38.0%	$19
MaxLotus	Magic	49.78	43.7%	$21.78
haigui	Magic	49.59	39.7%	$19.7
william-wisemny	Magic	49.24	49.8%	$24.5
akosialex703	Magic	49.1	40.7%	$20
gavinchanbc	Magic	49.1	40.7%	$20
Neon Horizon B634	Magic	46.91	40.6%	$19.06
Silver Scout CDDB	Magic	45.09	46.8%	$21.08
jambo531	Magic	44.69	44.8%	$20
Solar Summit 0913	Magic	44.24	44.8%	$19.8
xiaoshi1112	Magic	42.79	39.7%	$17
dindindi	Magic	42.76	43.0%	$18.39
ninobezzi	Magic	42.26	43.7%	$18.49
Sneaky-Retailer	Magic	38.64	51.8%	$20
Crimson Beacon 071D	Magic	34.42	43.7%	$15.06
Shanghai-Winner	Magic	32.98	4.3%	$1.4
ff223OOV	Magic	32.72	39.7%	$13
Distinct-Problem	Magic	32.63	30.6%	$10
Jaunty-Ability	Magic	32.48	15.4%	$5
signalss	Magic	32.08	38.7%	$12.42
LeviBoo	Magic	30.34	3.3%	$1
dopi	Magic	30.21	39.7%	$12
DaMonies	Magic	30	43.0%	$12.9
SAGAGG	Magic	30	38.0%	$11.4
meta-charles	Magic	29.8	21.5%	$6.41
FHMFGJ	Magic	29.44	38.7%	$11.4
davidshelby	Magic	29.31	38.7%	$11.35
CindyM	Magic	28	43.0%	$12.04
omarhayam	Magic	27.22	47.8%	$13
BYKD	Magic	27.01	40.7%	$11
scale.biz	Magic	25.83	38.7%	$10
GuiPulp	Magic	25.17	39.7%	$10
rooukie	Magic	25.17	39.7%	$10
Xiangks	Magic	25.17	39.7%	$10
Bekham	Magic	25.17	39.7%	$10
Skoba	Magic	25.17	39.7%	$10
Grassai	Magic	25.17	39.7%	$10
Celacake	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
Sweaty-Cursor	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
yayaya1	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
AxesuI	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
Doogge	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
Whitecro3	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
maliyia	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
traderjhong	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
tiger10	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
Daive	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
Hailly	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
kelake	Magic	24.55	40.7%	$10
212121111222	Magic	23.6	44.8%	$10.56
Bold Harbor 642B	Magic	22.36	44.3%	$9.91
BrunoGuarisco	Magic	22.35	44.8%	$10
Squiggly-Sunflower	Magic	22.35	44.8%	$10
Ezekielllla	Magic	22	43.0%	$9.46
MikeyIrish	Magic	20.11	44.8%	$9
kingzzm	Magic	20	5.0%	$1
xiaoxigua	Magic	20	48.0%	$9.6
Wolfkidss	Magic	19.91	55.3%	$11
smails001	Magic	19.63	38.7%	$7.6
Jumpy-Right	Magic	19.63	38.7%	$7.6
FaustianBargain	Magic	18	43.0%	$7.74
DontGetMeWrong	Magic	17.62	39.7%	$7
qaqgivemymoneyback	Magic	16.93	11.3%	$1.91
Clawbotazleeruiz9	Magic	14.82	38.7%	$5.74
circless	Magic	14.73	39.7%	$5.85
zvef33	Magic	13.74	39.7%	$5.46
ilovebetty	Magic	12.59	39.7%	$5
roundtrips	Magic	12.58	38.7%	$4.87
Hungry-Impression	Magic	12.44	39.7%	$4.94
bo8iliion	Magic	12.28	40.7%	$5
Pink-Army	Magic	12.28	40.7%	$5
Far-Hay	Magic	12.28	40.7%	$5
GGezever	Magic	11.8	44.8%	$5.28
enjiee	Magic	11.78	39.7%	$4.68
jfytdyr57	Magic	11.78	39.7%	$4.68
rtjth	Magic	11.78	39.7%	$4.68
gorgonzola1995	Magic	11.63	43.0%	$5
Visible-Zone	Magic	11.21	39.7%	$4.45
Confused-Silk	Magic	11.17	44.8%	$5
ExitLiquidityMe	Magic	11.17	44.8%	$5
Showy-Elver	Magic	11.12	39.7%	$4.42
Well-Informed-Tug	Magic	10.64	44.8%	$4.76
poewwww	Magic	10.56	40.7%	$4.3
Sneaky-Sock	Magic	10.39	39.7%	$4.13
fggfdd	Magic	10.33	38.7%	$4
zh777888	Magic	10.07	39.7%	$4
cfuihgi	Magic	10.07	39.7%	$4
lin58585998	Magic	10.07	39.7%	$4
qingqingqing	Magic	10.07	39.7%	$4
fxvxcvxv	Magic	10.07	39.7%	$4
mussama	Magic	10	37.0%	$3.7
Idle-Media	Magic	10	50.0%	$5	Apr 2, 1:18 AM UTC
Dawe003	Magic	10	50.0%	$5	Apr 2, 1:21 AM UTC
Jubilant-Pod	Magic	10	50.0%	$5	Apr 2, 1:20 AM UTC
simoncai0703	Magic	10	10.0%	$1
Jade Kestrel AD64	Magic	10	52.0%	$5.2
dawei001	Magic	10	50.0%	$5	Apr 2, 1:19 AM UTC
svetlaya	Magic	9.82	40.7%	$4
fsdfsdf3	Magic	9.82	40.7%	$4
Snoopy-Skullduggery	Magic	9.81	38.7%	$3.8
xiaoff11	Magic	9.81	36.7%	$3.6
Boiling-Warfare	Magic	9.1	44.8%	$4.07
Cautious-Lunge	Magic	8.94	44.8%	$4
Coral Sphinx 3EFE	Magic	8.74	45.8%	$4
ihappee	Magic	8.59	40.7%	$3.5
bikih7275	Magic	8.59	40.7%	$3.5
oragee	Magic	7.85	38.7%	$3.04
kkc35	Magic	7.75	38.7%	$3
Violet Ledger EE91	Magic	7.32	40.7%	$2.98
Neon Tide C2BE	Magic	7.32	40.7%	$2.98
Jade Signal 99AF	Magic	7.32	40.7%	$2.98
HunchexBot	Magic	7.12	40.7%	$2.9
Necessary-Baggie	Magic	6.7	44.8%	$3
Cosmic Atlas 1C58	Magic	6.06	44.8%	$2.71
Violet Summit E2BF	Magic	6	0.2%	$0.01
Silver Pulse 7EF7	Magic	5.89	39.7%	$2.34
burntpizza	Magic	5.82	2.6%	$0.15
Isakdenlille1	Magic	5.17	38.7%	$2
TianXinh	Magic	5.17	38.7%	$2
jimmyzhu	Magic	5.02	49.8%	$2.5
ZSM4736326	Magic	5	2.0%	$0.1
ShahRiazKhan	Magic	5	2.0%	$0.1
Meta0x77	Magic	5	2.0%	$0.1
Vague-Parade	Magic	5	1.0%	$0.05
Serious-Competitor-Hobby	Magic	4.91	43.7%	$2.15
HHJY87T7	Magic	4.91	40.7%	$2
wutuobang555	Magic	4.91	40.7%	$2
Aoptimus	Magic	4.91	39.7%	$1.95
spiderMa	Magic	4.91	38.7%	$1.9
Luckduck6	Magic	4.57	43.7%	$2
Zm0801	Magic	4.47	44.8%	$2
Labretas	Magic	4.47	44.8%	$2
super-swiss-01	Magic	4.42	52.8%	$2.33
richoffecom	Magic	4.37	45.8%	$2
Sasha4	Magic	4.34	43.7%	$1.9
dsosods	Magic	4.23	1.1%	$0.05	Apr 2, 12:52 AM UTC
pinkbeater	Magic	3.93	44.8%	$1.76
Brandon.LIN	Magic	3.76	40.7%	$1.53
chesny	Magic	3.43	43.7%	$1.5
Solar Atlas 4165	Magic	3.01	49.8%	$1.5
Keen Maven 92C3	Magic	2.85	41.7%	$1.19
stivi01	Magic	2.76	42.7%	$1.18
iLink	Magic	2.58	38.7%	$1
ZhangLehang	Magic	2.58	38.7%	$1
OPENWALL	Magic	2.58	38.7%	$1
BaoYiyang	Magic	2.58	38.7%	$1
Swift Pulse 9945	Magic	2.52	39.7%	$1
BbeProtein	Magic	2.52	39.7%	$1
Shannouille	Magic	2.46	40.7%	$1
240795792742	Magic	2.46	40.7%	$1
Gentle-Nationality	Magic	2.46	40.7%	$1
Gbconca	Magic	2.46	40.7%	$1
dvgcp	Magic	2.46	40.7%	$1
Satisfied-Champion	Magic	2.46	40.7%	$1
Ornery-Heritage	Magic	2.35	43.7%	$1.03
This-Motivation	Magic	2.29	43.7%	$1
greencarrot	Magic	2.29	43.7%	$1
Tamjeroush	Magic	2.23	44.8%	$1
Miserable-Doctorate	Magic	2.23	44.8%	$1
Probable-Episode	Magic	2.23	44.8%	$1
ayushworking1	Magic	2.23	44.8%	$1
ivancho1974	Magic	2.19	45.8%	$1
DeMont	Magic	2.05	48.8%	$1
OctaneXyz	Magic	2.05	48.8%	$1
Meta4monky	Magic	1.97	50.8%	$1
yurger	Hawks	1.79	63.7%	$1.14
watere	Hawks	1.6	63.7%	$1.02
yeryth	Hawks	1.59	62.7%	$1
stsrth	Hawks	1.59	62.7%	$1
hbgvfd	Hawks	1.59	62.7%	$1
kmoijnbhuft	Hawks	1.59	62.7%	$1
drecr	Hawks	1.57	63.7%	$1
fjffjjff	Hawks	1.57	63.7%	$1
juhytr	Hawks	1.57	63.7%	$1
ryrdrd	Hawks	1.57	63.7%	$1
9i8u	Hawks	1.57	63.7%	$1
nhbgfcd	Hawks	1.57	63.7%	$1
ijuhy	Hawks	1.57	63.7%	$1
5se45es	Hawks	1.57	63.7%	$1
NM-P	Magic	0.84	43.0%	$0.36
Quiet Pioneer 8F25	Hawks	0.84	57.0%	$0.48
ZQ99698	Magic	0.45	32.1%	$0.14	Apr 2, 1:02 AM UTC
Nicksypoo	Magic	0.25	40.7%	$0.1

322 of 322 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
yurger	$1.79
watere	$1.6
yeryth	$1.59

Analytics