What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Sonic on 23 Dec 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on whether 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) or 'Sonic 3' (2024) will gross more domestically on their opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office and https://the-numbers.com/movie/Sonic-the-Hedgehog-3-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) for each film are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Mufasa" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses more than what 'Sonic 3' (2024) grosses on its 3-day…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

19 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Dec 24, 10:15 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/mufasa-vs-sonic-3-opening-weekend-box-office) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Sonic: 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?

Market referencemufasa-vs-sonic-3-opening-weekend-box-officeUpdated Dec 24, 2024 UTC

Resolved

Sonic · settled Dec 23, 2024 UTC

Mufasa

0.0%

Sonic

100.0%

Final Mufasa 0¢Final Sonic 100¢

Lifetime volume

$777.8K

Resolved

Sonic

Settled

Dec 23, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Dec 24, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Dec 24, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Sonic

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

97%

Yes / No shares

6.11K / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

315

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Dec 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Dec 23, 12:00 AM UTC	0.5%	0.5%
Dec 22, 12:00 AM UTC	0.5%	0.5%
Dec 21, 12:00 AM UTC	0.9%	0.9%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Sonic on 23 Dec 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on whether 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) or 'Sonic 3' (2024) will gross more domestically on their opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office and https://the-numbers.com/movie/Sonic-the-Hedgehog-3-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) for each film are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Mufasa" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses more than what 'Sonic 3' (2024) grosses on its 3-day…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Dec 23, 12:00 AM UTC

0.5%

Dec 22, 12:00 AM UTC

0.5%

Dec 21, 12:00 AM UTC

0.9%