What is the “Mike Johnson out as Speaker before May?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Mike Johnson out as Speaker before May? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 1 May 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 7, 11:10 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-before-may) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Mike Johnson out as Speaker before May?

Market referencemike-johnson-out-as-speaker-before-mayUpdated May 7, 2024 UTC

politicsResolved

No · settled May 1, 2024 UTCuptspt-politicsus-politics

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$62.3K

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

May 7, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 7, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

Yes / No shares

The provider top-holder sample is currently unavailable.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$26.61K

Yes sell at 0.3%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-0.1 pts

Range

0.5% - 16.8%

Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC to May 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

No open positions

The provider returned no positive open position rows for this market.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

No market traders

No market-scoped trader rows were returned.

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Mike Johnson out as Speaker before May?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Mike Johnson out as Speaker before May? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 1 May 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics