Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

Name: Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23? — implied probability history
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Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 23, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.3M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 23, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Lacosteboy	No	1.29M	58.6%	$755.82K
Lilybaeum	No	49.89K	25.2%	$12.56K	Apr 23, 7:56 PM UTC
Dishonest-Bloom	No	43.98K	47.1%	$20.74K
ic4cream	No	32.86K	55.1%	$18.12K
Keen Lynx 0B73	No	13.96K	50.0%	$6.98K
mortewfenloin	No	7.53K	54.8%	$4.12K
blindsamsam	No	4.84K	8.5%	$411	Apr 23, 7:56 PM UTC
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.67K	0.0%	$0
Cannae	No	3.46K	54.3%	$1.88K
4buc0	No	3.19K	66.1%	$2.11K	Apr 23, 8:00 PM UTC
bamboo11	No	1.94K	0.1%	$2	Apr 23, 8:34 PM UTC
venera1234	No	996.54	7.0%	$70	Apr 23, 7:57 PM UTC
Focused-Pagoda	No	970.03	0.1%	$1	Apr 23, 10:10 PM UTC
uiiusda	No	394.51	55.0%	$217
Winding-Cartoon	No	331.77	56.0%	$185.79
GUINESS123	No	283.43	35.8%	$101.55
pediamir	No	227.01	55.8%	$126.57
interchampion	No	224.63	54.8%	$123
aliang123	No	207.1	54.8%	$113.4
jhh123	No	182.63	54.8%	$100
Jellyjellyking	No	176.21	56.7%	$100
torta.tech	No	112.87	67.7%	$76.38
olpob	No	98.1	59.7%	$58.6
Omgwtfe	No	90.73	54.8%	$49.68
arthurhz999	No	75.01	62.7%	$47.04
WagerWizard	No	63.62	80.9%	$51.5
sylle	No	59.66	53.6%	$32
somewanter	No	58.82	49.0%	$28.82
Emerald Horizon DAEF	No	52.82	54.0%	$28.52
PalaBet	No	45.66	54.8%	$25
Coral Pioneer D6F5	No	44.03	49.2%	$21.67	Apr 23, 8:01 PM UTC
Misty Oracle CEA6	No	42	54.0%	$22.68
Jade Lynx 3198	No	31.51	59.7%	$18.82
Emerald Pioneer C5D8	No	28	53.0%	$14.84
Reonardodavinci	No	27.39	54.8%	$15
diabeto67	No	19.06	69.5%	$13.24
Bright Kestrel 8E92	No	17.86	82.0%	$14.65
LASJD2N	No	16.07	57.7%	$9.28
Indigo Pulse 0FC5	No	13.73	0.1%	$0.01	Apr 23, 8:14 PM UTC
Lunar Raven 2A7B	No	12.36	57.7%	$7.14
FaustianBargain	No	11	54.0%	$5.94
Weekly-Diffuse	No	9.96	55.8%	$5.55
Solar Raven 8BC4	No	8.74	55.8%	$4.87
Golden Lynx 6A96	Yes	8.51	34.7%	$2.95
mirabu	No	6.76	54.8%	$3.7
MidAtBest	No	6.54	54.8%	$3.58
Jade Pioneer 78C2	No	6.35	57.7%	$3.67
monkeyurl1to1	No	5.96	75.6%	$4.5
Resteban	No	5.83	68.7%	$4
Crimson Voyager 2EDC	No	5.59	80.5%	$4.5
semHyper	No	5.48	54.8%	$3
Lumpkin	No	5.03	71.6%	$3.6
Shanghai-Winner	No	5	1.0%	$0.05
Arabesque	No	4.93	56.7%	$2.8
Rapid Vector 98E6	No	4.93	55.8%	$2.75
flyingfish11	No	4.93	54.8%	$2.7
Misty Beacon FFA1	Yes	4.92	46.8%	$2.3
Victorious-Woolens	No	4.02	59.7%	$2.4
fakequant	No	3.84	62.4%	$2.4
KSY928	No	3.59	55.8%	$2
Azure Signal BA82	No	3.49	57.2%	$2
Lex4000	No	3.24	61.7%	$2
Shadowy-Media	No	2.26	76.5%	$1.73	Apr 23, 8:14 PM UTC
2221stq	No	2.04	57.7%	$1.18
Lively-Possibility	No	1.97	55.8%	$1.1
yiqiangguo	No	1.94	57.7%	$1.12
Azure Atlas B189	Yes	1.9	52.8%	$1
Shannet	No	1.83	54.8%	$1
Unpleasant-Dock	No	1.7	58.7%	$1
noxyy	No	1.33	58.1%	$0.77
Crimson Horizon AF75	No	1.19	57.7%	$0.69
Bold Pulse A87B	No	0.51	73.6%	$0.37
Lunar Tide 23CE	Yes	0.51	20.1%	$0.1
Jade Kestrel 0AB0	No	0.51	73.6%	$0.37
Emerald Pioneer 7DAC	No	0.5	73.6%	$0.37
Lunar Sphinx 2EEC	No	0.5	73.6%	$0.37
Amber Atlas DA4A	No	0.5	73.2%	$0.37
Bright Beacon E0C4	No	0.5	73.6%	$0.37
Royal Horizon 55AA	No	0.5	73.6%	$0.37

79 of 79 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Golden Lynx 6A96	$8.51
Misty Beacon FFA1	$4.92
Azure Atlas B189	$1.9

Analytics