Market referencekamala-rust-belt-swing-state-sweepUpdated Nov 7, 2024 UTC
Resolved
No · settled Nov 6, 2024 UTCdeprec-us-electionpolitics
Yes
0.0%
No
100.0%
Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢
Lifetime volume
$424.6K
Resolved
No
Settled
Nov 6, 2024 UTC
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
Nov 7, 2024 UTC
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Nov 7, 2024 UTC
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Resolved
Order book
Captured book available
Final outcome
No
The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
38
Wallets
38
Top 10 share
96%
Yes / No shares
34.43K / 97.83
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
500
Wallets
320
Loaded notional
$110.09K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 6, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
7
Move
+8.0 pts
Range
29.5% - 44.0%
Oct 31, 12:00 AM UTC to Nov 6, 12:00 AM UTC
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 6, 12:00 AM UTC
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Nov 6, 12:00 AM UTC
37.5%
37.5%
Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC
35.0%
35.0%
Nov 4, 12:00 AM UTC
40.5%
40.5%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?
It resolved No on 6 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins every Rust Belt swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "Rust Belt swing states": Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Nov 3, 12:00 AM UTC
44.0%
44.0%
Nov 2, 12:00 AM UTC
39.5%
39.5%
Nov 1, 12:00 AM UTC
34.5%
34.5%
Oct 31, 12:00 AM UTC
29.5%
29.5%
Who still holds shares in this market?
38 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 7, 8:33 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/kamala-rust-belt-swing-state-sweep) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
