Analytics
“ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina), clay: Completed Match: Bastian Malla vs Carlos Maria Zarate” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina), clay: Bastian Malla vs Carlos Maria Zarate”. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved Yes on 29 Aug 2026. $120 traded over its life. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 2 6-hour price points from Aug 29, 2026 UTC to Aug 29, 2026 UTC (Yes between 49.0% and 50.0%); 2 recent public fills from 1 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
6-hour closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 29 Aug, 12:00 UTC – 29 Aug, 18:00 UTC · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug, 12:00 UTC | 49.0% |
| 29 Aug, 18:00 UTC | 50.0% |
The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.
Market-scoped trader rows are not available for this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bastian Malla and Carlos Maria Zarate in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina), clay, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-malla-zarate-2026-08-29
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.