Analytics
“Uladzimir Ignatik vs. Nicola Rispoli: Total Sets O/U 2.5” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Over 2.5 and Under 2.5. It belongs to the event “M15 Buzau: Uladzimir Ignatik vs Nicola Rispoli”. The Over 2.5 price is the market's implied probability that Over 2.5 wins. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved Under 2.5 on 1 Sep 2026. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Over 2.5 price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 1 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–55%
| Observed | Over 2.5 price |
|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.
Market-scoped trader rows are not available for this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Uladzimir Ignatik and Nicola Rispoli in the M15 Buzau, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-ignatik-rispoli-2026-09-01
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.