Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

Name: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? — implied probability history
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politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.0M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 5, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Aug 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Aug 5, 12:00 AM UTC	99.9%	99.9%
Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC	100.0%	100.0%
Aug 3, 12:00 AM UTC	99.8%	99.8%
Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC	82.0%	82.0%
Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC	77.5%	77.5%
Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%

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