Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Name: Iran closes its airspace by May 21? — implied probability history
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Resolved

No, settled May 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.8M

Resolved

Settled

May 22, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest May 22, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
May 22, 12:00 AM UTC	1.5%	1.5%
May 21, 12:00 AM UTC	3.4%	3.4%
May 20, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
May 19, 12:00 AM UTC	7.5%	7.5%
May 18, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
May 17, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
May 16, 12:00 AM UTC	15.5%	15.5%
May 15, 12:00 AM UTC	19.0%	19.0%
May 14, 12:00 AM UTC	15.5%	15.5%
May 13, 12:00 AM UTC	19.5%	19.5%

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