What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Democratic ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Kamala Harris and Tim Walz. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolved based on the official Democratic nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that Harris-Walz being on state ballots will…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

112 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 6, 7:41 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/harris-walz-final-democratic-ticket) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Market referenceharris-walz-final-democratic-ticketUpdated Nov 6, 2024 UTC

politicsResolved

Yes · settled Nov 5, 2024 UTCdeprec-us-electionpolitics

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$6.2M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 5, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 6, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 6, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

112

Wallets

112

Top 10 share

74%

Yes / No shares

178.64 / 1.22M

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

364

Loaded notional

$230.7K

No buy at 0.1%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+3.1 pts

Range

92.2% - 99.9%

Aug 7, 12:00 AM UTC to Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC	99.9%	99.9%
Nov 4, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%
Nov 3, 12:00 AM UTC	99.5%	99.5%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Democratic ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Kamala Harris and Tim Walz. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolved based on the official Democratic nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that Harris-Walz being on state ballots will…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC

99.9%

Nov 4, 12:00 AM UTC

99.6%

Nov 3, 12:00 AM UTC

99.5%