GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?

Name: GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

techResolved

Yes, settled Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$305

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 2, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC	61.0%	61.0%
Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC	73.5%	73.5%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC	53.0%	53.0%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC	47.5%	47.5%
Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC	39.5%	39.5%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC	37.0%	37.0%
Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC	38.5%	38.5%
Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC	50.0%	50.0%
Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC	50.0%	50.0%
Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC	50.0%	50.0%
Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC	50.0%	50.0%
Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC	50.0%	50.0%

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