GitHub.com critical incident by October 15, 2026?

Name: GitHub.com critical incident by October 15, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

techResolved

Yes, settled Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$566

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 2, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%
Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC	79.0%	79.0%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC	70.0%	70.0%
Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC	67.5%	67.5%
Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC	69.0%	69.0%
Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC	67.5%	67.5%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC	69.5%	69.5%
Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC	67.0%	67.0%
Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC	70.0%	70.0%
Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC	68.5%	68.5%
Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC	68.5%	68.5%
Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC	66.0%	66.0%
Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC	65.5%	65.5%
Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC	52.5%	52.5%

Analytics