Fed rate cut by September 18?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 18, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$20.3M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 18, 2024 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC	98.7%	98.7%
Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC	98.5%	98.5%
Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC	98.3%	98.3%
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC	98.3%	98.3%
Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC	98.5%	98.5%
Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC	98.2%	98.2%
Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC	98.3%	98.3%
Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC	97.0%	97.0%
Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC	97.3%	97.3%
Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC	97.5%	97.5%
Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC	98.2%	98.2%
Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC	97.7%	97.7%
Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC	95.8%	95.8%
Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC	97.4%	97.4%
Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC	96.9%	96.9%
Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC	96.4%	96.4%
Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC	96.2%	96.2%
Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC	95.7%	95.7%
Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC	96.1%	96.1%
Aug 30, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC	96.4%	96.4%
Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC	96.2%	96.2%
Aug 27, 12:00 AM UTC	96.2%	96.2%
Aug 26, 12:00 AM UTC	96.9%	96.9%
Aug 25, 12:00 AM UTC	96.8%	96.8%
Aug 24, 12:00 AM UTC	97.2%	97.2%
Aug 23, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Aug 22, 12:00 AM UTC	93.7%	93.7%
Aug 21, 12:00 AM UTC	93.3%	93.3%
Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC	94.3%	94.3%
Aug 19, 12:00 AM UTC	93.3%	93.3%
Aug 18, 12:00 AM UTC	93.7%	93.7%
Aug 17, 12:00 AM UTC	94.2%	94.2%
Aug 16, 12:00 AM UTC	93.8%	93.8%
Aug 15, 12:00 AM UTC	94.8%	94.8%
Aug 14, 12:00 AM UTC	93.9%	93.9%
Aug 13, 12:00 AM UTC	94.6%	94.6%
Aug 12, 12:00 AM UTC	94.8%	94.8%
Aug 11, 12:00 AM UTC	96.0%	96.0%
Aug 10, 12:00 AM UTC	95.3%	95.3%
Aug 9, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Aug 8, 12:00 AM UTC	94.7%	94.7%
Aug 7, 12:00 AM UTC	95.3%	95.3%
Aug 6, 12:00 AM UTC	95.2%	95.2%
Aug 5, 12:00 AM UTC	94.3%	94.3%
Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC	93.7%	93.7%
Aug 3, 12:00 AM UTC	94.7%	94.7%
Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC	88.6%	88.6%
Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC	86.4%	86.4%
Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC	85.2%	85.2%
Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC	86.5%	86.5%
Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC	86.9%	86.9%
Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC	84.4%	84.4%
Jul 27, 12:00 AM UTC	83.9%	83.9%
Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC	84.2%	84.2%
Jul 25, 12:00 AM UTC	83.6%	83.6%
Jul 24, 12:00 AM UTC	83.2%	83.2%
Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC	82.8%	82.8%
Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC	83.6%	83.6%
Jul 21, 12:00 AM UTC	83.5%	83.5%
Jul 20, 12:00 AM UTC	82.5%	82.5%
Jul 19, 12:00 AM UTC	84.8%	84.8%
Jul 18, 12:00 AM UTC	83.4%	83.4%
Jul 17, 12:00 AM UTC	87.8%	87.8%
Jul 16, 12:00 AM UTC	80.5%	80.5%
Jul 15, 12:00 AM UTC	78.0%	78.0%
Jul 14, 12:00 AM UTC	78.7%	78.7%
Jul 13, 12:00 AM UTC	79.8%	79.8%
Jul 12, 12:00 AM UTC	81.5%	81.5%
Jul 11, 12:00 AM UTC	68.5%	68.5%
Jul 10, 12:00 AM UTC	67.2%	67.2%
Jul 9, 12:00 AM UTC	66.8%	66.8%
Jul 8, 12:00 AM UTC	66.3%	66.3%
Jul 7, 12:00 AM UTC	66.0%	66.0%
Jul 6, 12:00 AM UTC	65.5%	65.5%
Jul 5, 12:00 AM UTC	60.0%	60.0%
Jul 4, 12:00 AM UTC	61.0%	61.0%
Jul 3, 12:00 AM UTC	53.5%	53.5%
Jul 2, 12:00 AM UTC	57.6%	57.6%
Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC	57.3%	57.3%
Jun 30, 12:00 AM UTC	57.5%	57.5%
Jun 29, 12:00 AM UTC	57.5%	57.5%
Jun 28, 12:00 AM UTC	57.8%	57.8%
Jun 27, 12:00 AM UTC	58.2%	58.2%
Jun 26, 12:00 AM UTC	58.6%	58.6%
Jun 25, 12:00 AM UTC	58.1%	58.1%
Jun 24, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
Jun 23, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
Jun 22, 12:00 AM UTC	58.0%	58.0%
Jun 21, 12:00 AM UTC	58.2%	58.2%
Jun 20, 12:00 AM UTC	58.0%	58.0%
Jun 19, 12:00 AM UTC	57.6%	57.6%
Jun 18, 12:00 AM UTC	58.6%	58.6%
Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC	58.4%	58.4%
Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC	59.0%	59.0%
Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC	59.5%	59.5%
Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC	60.5%	60.5%
Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC	55.5%	55.5%
Jun 12, 12:00 AM UTC	41.5%	41.5%
Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC	43.0%	43.0%
Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC	44.6%	44.6%
Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC	45.0%	45.0%
Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC	48.5%	48.5%
Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC	57.5%	57.5%
Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC	59.0%	59.0%
Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC	51.5%	51.5%
Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC	43.5%	43.5%
Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC	39.6%	39.6%
Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC	38.6%	38.6%
May 31, 12:00 AM UTC	37.0%	37.0%
May 30, 12:00 AM UTC	34.8%	34.8%
May 29, 12:00 AM UTC	36.5%	36.5%
May 28, 12:00 AM UTC	42.5%	42.5%
May 27, 12:00 AM UTC	41.5%	41.5%
May 26, 12:00 AM UTC	44.0%	44.0%
May 25, 12:00 AM UTC	46.0%	46.0%
May 24, 12:00 AM UTC	47.5%	47.5%
May 23, 12:00 AM UTC	59.2%	59.2%
May 22, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
May 21, 12:00 AM UTC	62.3%	62.3%
May 20, 12:00 AM UTC	64.0%	64.0%
May 19, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
May 18, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
May 17, 12:00 AM UTC	59.7%	59.7%
May 16, 12:00 AM UTC	54.2%	54.2%
May 15, 12:00 AM UTC	41.9%	41.9%
May 14, 12:00 AM UTC	41.5%	41.5%
May 13, 12:00 AM UTC	46.6%	46.6%
May 12, 12:00 AM UTC	47.0%	47.0%
May 11, 12:00 AM UTC	47.0%	47.0%
May 10, 12:00 AM UTC	48.5%	48.5%
May 9, 12:00 AM UTC	54.4%	54.4%
May 8, 12:00 AM UTC	54.4%	54.4%
May 7, 12:00 AM UTC	53.5%	53.5%
May 6, 12:00 AM UTC	54.0%	54.0%
May 5, 12:00 AM UTC	55.5%	55.5%
May 4, 12:00 AM UTC	53.0%	53.0%
May 3, 12:00 AM UTC	35.5%	35.5%
May 2, 12:00 AM UTC	34.5%	34.5%
May 1, 12:00 AM UTC	33.5%	33.5%
Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC	33.5%	33.5%
Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC	39.0%	39.0%
Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC	40.0%	40.0%
Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC	39.5%	39.5%
Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC	43.5%	43.5%
Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC	43.5%	43.5%
Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC	45.1%	45.1%
Apr 21, 12:00 AM UTC	45.5%	45.5%
Apr 20, 12:00 AM UTC	49.1%	49.1%
Apr 19, 12:00 AM UTC	50.4%	50.4%
Apr 18, 12:00 AM UTC	48.0%	48.0%
Apr 17, 12:00 AM UTC	48.0%	48.0%
Apr 16, 12:00 AM UTC	56.5%	56.5%
Apr 15, 12:00 AM UTC	56.5%	56.5%
Apr 14, 12:00 AM UTC	57.0%	57.0%
Apr 13, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
Apr 12, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
Apr 11, 12:00 AM UTC	60.0%	60.0%
Apr 10, 12:00 AM UTC	75.5%	75.5%
Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Apr 8, 12:00 AM UTC	80.0%	80.0%
Apr 7, 12:00 AM UTC	80.0%	80.0%
Apr 6, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Apr 5, 12:00 AM UTC	83.9%	83.9%
Apr 4, 12:00 AM UTC	81.8%	81.8%
Apr 3, 12:00 AM UTC	81.6%	81.6%
Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC	87.1%	87.1%
Mar 30, 12:00 AM UTC	87.1%	87.1%
Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC	87.1%	87.1%
Mar 28, 12:00 AM UTC	87.1%	87.1%
Mar 27, 12:00 AM UTC	86.9%	86.9%
Mar 26, 12:00 AM UTC	87.0%	87.0%
Mar 25, 12:00 AM UTC	87.6%	87.6%
Mar 24, 12:00 AM UTC	87.9%	87.9%
Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC	87.9%	87.9%
Mar 22, 12:00 AM UTC	87.3%	87.3%
Mar 21, 12:00 AM UTC	86.9%	86.9%
Mar 20, 12:00 AM UTC	87.3%	87.3%
Mar 19, 12:00 AM UTC	87.7%	87.7%
Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC	86.1%	86.1%
Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Mar 16, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC	88.8%	88.8%
Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
Mar 13, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC	82.5%	82.5%

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC

98.7%

Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC

98.5%

Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC

98.3%

Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC

98.3%

Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC

98.5%

Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC

98.2%

Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC

98.3%

Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC

97.0%

Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC

97.3%

Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC

97.5%

Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC

98.2%

Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC

97.7%

Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC

95.8%

Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC

97.4%

Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC

96.9%

Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC

96.4%

Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC

96.2%

Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC

95.7%

Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC

96.1%

Aug 30, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC

96.4%

Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC

96.2%

Aug 27, 12:00 AM UTC

96.2%

Aug 26, 12:00 AM UTC

96.9%

Aug 25, 12:00 AM UTC

96.8%

Aug 24, 12:00 AM UTC

97.2%

Aug 23, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

Aug 22, 12:00 AM UTC

93.7%

Aug 21, 12:00 AM UTC

93.3%

Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC

94.3%

Aug 19, 12:00 AM UTC

93.3%

Aug 18, 12:00 AM UTC

93.7%

Aug 17, 12:00 AM UTC

94.2%

Aug 16, 12:00 AM UTC

93.8%

Aug 15, 12:00 AM UTC

94.8%

Aug 14, 12:00 AM UTC

93.9%

Aug 13, 12:00 AM UTC

94.6%

Aug 12, 12:00 AM UTC

94.8%

Aug 11, 12:00 AM UTC

96.0%

Aug 10, 12:00 AM UTC

95.3%

Aug 9, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Aug 8, 12:00 AM UTC

94.7%

Aug 7, 12:00 AM UTC

95.3%

Aug 6, 12:00 AM UTC

95.2%

Aug 5, 12:00 AM UTC

94.3%

Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC

93.7%

Aug 3, 12:00 AM UTC

94.7%

Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC

88.6%

Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC

86.4%

Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC

85.2%

Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC

86.5%

Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC

86.9%

Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC

84.4%

Jul 27, 12:00 AM UTC

83.9%

Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC

84.2%

Jul 25, 12:00 AM UTC

83.6%

Jul 24, 12:00 AM UTC

83.2%

Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC

82.8%

Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC

83.6%

Jul 21, 12:00 AM UTC

83.5%

Jul 20, 12:00 AM UTC

82.5%

Jul 19, 12:00 AM UTC

84.8%

Jul 18, 12:00 AM UTC

83.4%

Jul 17, 12:00 AM UTC

87.8%

Jul 16, 12:00 AM UTC

80.5%

Jul 15, 12:00 AM UTC

78.0%

Jul 14, 12:00 AM UTC

78.7%

Jul 13, 12:00 AM UTC

79.8%

Jul 12, 12:00 AM UTC

81.5%

Jul 11, 12:00 AM UTC

68.5%

Jul 10, 12:00 AM UTC

67.2%

Jul 9, 12:00 AM UTC

66.8%

Jul 8, 12:00 AM UTC

66.3%

Jul 7, 12:00 AM UTC

66.0%

Jul 6, 12:00 AM UTC

65.5%

Jul 5, 12:00 AM UTC

60.0%

Jul 4, 12:00 AM UTC

61.0%

Jul 3, 12:00 AM UTC

53.5%

Jul 2, 12:00 AM UTC

57.6%

Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC

57.3%

Jun 30, 12:00 AM UTC

57.5%

Jun 29, 12:00 AM UTC

57.5%

Jun 28, 12:00 AM UTC

57.8%

Jun 27, 12:00 AM UTC

58.2%

Jun 26, 12:00 AM UTC

58.6%

Jun 25, 12:00 AM UTC

58.1%

Jun 24, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

Jun 23, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

Jun 22, 12:00 AM UTC

58.0%

Jun 21, 12:00 AM UTC

58.2%

Jun 20, 12:00 AM UTC

58.0%

Jun 19, 12:00 AM UTC

57.6%

Jun 18, 12:00 AM UTC

58.6%

Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC

58.4%

Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC

59.0%

Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC

59.5%

Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC

60.5%

Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC

55.5%

Jun 12, 12:00 AM UTC

41.5%

Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC

43.0%

Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC

44.6%

Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC

45.0%

Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC

48.5%

Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC

57.5%

Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC

59.0%

Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC

51.5%

Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC

43.5%

Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC

39.6%

Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC

38.0%

Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC

38.6%

May 31, 12:00 AM UTC

37.0%

May 30, 12:00 AM UTC

34.8%

May 29, 12:00 AM UTC

36.5%

May 28, 12:00 AM UTC

42.5%

May 27, 12:00 AM UTC

41.5%

May 26, 12:00 AM UTC

44.0%

May 25, 12:00 AM UTC

46.0%

May 24, 12:00 AM UTC

47.5%

May 23, 12:00 AM UTC

59.2%

May 22, 12:00 AM UTC

62.5%

May 21, 12:00 AM UTC

62.3%

May 20, 12:00 AM UTC

64.0%

May 19, 12:00 AM UTC

63.5%

May 18, 12:00 AM UTC

62.5%

May 17, 12:00 AM UTC

59.7%

May 16, 12:00 AM UTC

54.2%

May 15, 12:00 AM UTC

41.9%

May 14, 12:00 AM UTC

41.5%

May 13, 12:00 AM UTC

46.6%

May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

47.0%

May 11, 12:00 AM UTC

47.0%

May 10, 12:00 AM UTC

48.5%

May 9, 12:00 AM UTC

54.4%

May 8, 12:00 AM UTC

54.4%

May 7, 12:00 AM UTC

53.5%

May 6, 12:00 AM UTC

54.0%

May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

55.5%

May 4, 12:00 AM UTC

53.0%

May 3, 12:00 AM UTC

35.5%

May 2, 12:00 AM UTC

34.5%

May 1, 12:00 AM UTC

33.5%

Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC

33.5%

Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC

38.0%

Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC

38.0%

Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC

39.0%

Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC

40.0%

Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC

39.5%

Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC

43.5%

Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC

43.5%

Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC

45.1%

Apr 21, 12:00 AM UTC

45.5%

Apr 20, 12:00 AM UTC

49.1%

Apr 19, 12:00 AM UTC

50.4%

Apr 18, 12:00 AM UTC

48.0%

Apr 17, 12:00 AM UTC

48.0%

Apr 16, 12:00 AM UTC

56.5%

Apr 15, 12:00 AM UTC

56.5%

Apr 14, 12:00 AM UTC

57.0%

Apr 13, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

Apr 12, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

Apr 11, 12:00 AM UTC

60.0%

Apr 10, 12:00 AM UTC

75.5%

Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Apr 8, 12:00 AM UTC

80.0%

Apr 7, 12:00 AM UTC

80.0%

Apr 6, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Apr 5, 12:00 AM UTC

83.9%

Apr 4, 12:00 AM UTC

81.8%

Apr 3, 12:00 AM UTC

81.6%

Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC

87.1%

Mar 30, 12:00 AM UTC

87.1%

Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC

87.1%

Mar 28, 12:00 AM UTC

87.1%

Mar 27, 12:00 AM UTC

86.9%

Mar 26, 12:00 AM UTC

87.0%

Mar 25, 12:00 AM UTC

87.6%

Mar 24, 12:00 AM UTC

87.9%

Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC

87.9%

Mar 22, 12:00 AM UTC

87.3%

Mar 21, 12:00 AM UTC

86.9%

Mar 20, 12:00 AM UTC

87.3%

Mar 19, 12:00 AM UTC

87.7%

Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

86.1%

Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

Mar 16, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC

88.8%

Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

Mar 13, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC

90.5%

Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC

82.5%