Fed rate cut by November 7?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 18, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.0M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 18, 2024 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC	99.2%	99.2%
Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC	99.3%	99.3%
Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC	99.4%	99.4%
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC	99.4%	99.4%
Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%
Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%
Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%
Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC	98.3%	98.3%
Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC	98.7%	98.7%
Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC	99.0%	99.0%
Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC	98.8%	98.8%
Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC	98.9%	98.9%
Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC	98.7%	98.7%
Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC	98.9%	98.9%
Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC	99.0%	99.0%
Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC	98.8%	98.8%
Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC	98.9%	98.9%
Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC	98.9%	98.9%
Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC	98.7%	98.7%
Aug 30, 12:00 AM UTC	97.8%	97.8%
Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC	98.0%	98.0%
Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC	98.0%	98.0%
Aug 27, 12:00 AM UTC	97.7%	97.7%
Aug 26, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%
Aug 25, 12:00 AM UTC	97.5%	97.5%
Aug 24, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%
Aug 23, 12:00 AM UTC	95.5%	95.5%
Aug 22, 12:00 AM UTC	95.2%	95.2%
Aug 21, 12:00 AM UTC	95.8%	95.8%
Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC	97.3%	97.3%
Aug 19, 12:00 AM UTC	97.5%	97.5%
Aug 18, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%
Aug 17, 12:00 AM UTC	98.5%	98.5%
Aug 16, 12:00 AM UTC	98.3%	98.3%
Aug 15, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%
Aug 14, 12:00 AM UTC	97.5%	97.5%
Aug 13, 12:00 AM UTC	97.7%	97.7%
Aug 12, 12:00 AM UTC	97.3%	97.3%
Aug 11, 12:00 AM UTC	97.3%	97.3%
Aug 10, 12:00 AM UTC	97.2%	97.2%
Aug 9, 12:00 AM UTC	96.7%	96.7%
Aug 8, 12:00 AM UTC	96.5%	96.5%
Aug 7, 12:00 AM UTC	96.7%	96.7%
Aug 6, 12:00 AM UTC	95.5%	95.5%
Aug 5, 12:00 AM UTC	95.2%	95.2%
Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC	95.7%	95.7%
Aug 3, 12:00 AM UTC	95.8%	95.8%
Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC	93.0%	93.0%
Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC	92.4%	92.4%
Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC	92.3%	92.3%
Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC	92.1%	92.1%
Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC	87.9%	87.9%
Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC	87.8%	87.8%
Jul 27, 12:00 AM UTC	86.8%	86.8%
Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC	86.9%	86.9%
Jul 25, 12:00 AM UTC	86.7%	86.7%
Jul 24, 12:00 AM UTC	86.7%	86.7%
Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC	86.8%	86.8%
Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC	86.7%	86.7%
Jul 21, 12:00 AM UTC	87.1%	87.1%
Jul 20, 12:00 AM UTC	87.8%	87.8%
Jul 19, 12:00 AM UTC	89.1%	89.1%
Jul 18, 12:00 AM UTC	89.3%	89.3%
Jul 17, 12:00 AM UTC	89.5%	89.5%
Jul 16, 12:00 AM UTC	85.0%	85.0%
Jul 15, 12:00 AM UTC	82.3%	82.3%
Jul 14, 12:00 AM UTC	85.3%	85.3%
Jul 13, 12:00 AM UTC	88.0%	88.0%
Jul 12, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
Jul 11, 12:00 AM UTC	81.8%	81.8%
Jul 10, 12:00 AM UTC	80.8%	80.8%
Jul 9, 12:00 AM UTC	80.5%	80.5%
Jul 8, 12:00 AM UTC	79.5%	79.5%
Jul 7, 12:00 AM UTC	79.5%	79.5%
Jul 6, 12:00 AM UTC	77.5%	77.5%
Jul 5, 12:00 AM UTC	74.2%	74.2%
Jul 4, 12:00 AM UTC	75.5%	75.5%
Jul 3, 12:00 AM UTC	74.1%	74.1%
Jul 2, 12:00 AM UTC	74.4%	74.4%
Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC	74.1%	74.1%
Jun 30, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Jun 29, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Jun 28, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 27, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 26, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 25, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 24, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 23, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 22, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 21, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 20, 12:00 AM UTC	73.0%	73.0%
Jun 19, 12:00 AM UTC	78.8%	78.8%
Jun 18, 12:00 AM UTC	78.8%	78.8%
Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC	78.8%	78.8%
Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC	78.8%	78.8%
Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC	76.8%	76.8%
Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%
Jun 12, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC	63.0%	63.0%
Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC	65.0%	65.0%
Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC	67.5%	67.5%
Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC	68.0%	68.0%
Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC	67.8%	67.8%
Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC	67.3%	67.3%
Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC	67.4%	67.4%
Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC	61.3%	61.3%
Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC	61.3%	61.3%
Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC	61.8%	61.8%
May 31, 12:00 AM UTC	57.8%	57.8%
May 30, 12:00 AM UTC	55.5%	55.5%
May 29, 12:00 AM UTC	55.0%	55.0%
May 28, 12:00 AM UTC	58.4%	58.4%
May 27, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
May 26, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
May 25, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
May 24, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
May 23, 12:00 AM UTC	67.0%	67.0%
May 22, 12:00 AM UTC	67.0%	67.0%
May 21, 12:00 AM UTC	67.0%	67.0%
May 20, 12:00 AM UTC	69.0%	69.0%
May 19, 12:00 AM UTC	68.3%	68.3%
May 18, 12:00 AM UTC	68.8%	68.8%
May 17, 12:00 AM UTC	68.8%	68.8%
May 16, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
May 15, 12:00 AM UTC	61.0%	61.0%
May 14, 12:00 AM UTC	61.5%	61.5%
May 13, 12:00 AM UTC	62.5%	62.5%
May 12, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
May 11, 12:00 AM UTC	64.5%	64.5%
May 10, 12:00 AM UTC	65.0%	65.0%
May 9, 12:00 AM UTC	65.0%	65.0%
May 8, 12:00 AM UTC	65.0%	65.0%
May 7, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
May 6, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
May 5, 12:00 AM UTC	65.0%	65.0%
May 4, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
May 3, 12:00 AM UTC	45.5%	45.5%
May 2, 12:00 AM UTC	45.5%	45.5%
May 1, 12:00 AM UTC	44.5%	44.5%
Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC	44.0%	44.0%
Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC	47.0%	47.0%
Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC	47.5%	47.5%
Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC	47.5%	47.5%
Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC	53.0%	53.0%
Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC	57.5%	57.5%
Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC	62.0%	62.0%
Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC	61.0%	61.0%
Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC	59.0%	59.0%
Apr 21, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
Apr 20, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
Apr 19, 12:00 AM UTC	64.0%	64.0%
Apr 18, 12:00 AM UTC	63.0%	63.0%
Apr 17, 12:00 AM UTC	68.3%	68.3%
Apr 16, 12:00 AM UTC	68.7%	68.7%
Apr 15, 12:00 AM UTC	68.3%	68.3%
Apr 14, 12:00 AM UTC	68.3%	68.3%
Apr 13, 12:00 AM UTC	68.5%	68.5%
Apr 12, 12:00 AM UTC	70.5%	70.5%
Apr 11, 12:00 AM UTC	73.0%	73.0%
Apr 10, 12:00 AM UTC	85.3%	85.3%
Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC	84.3%	84.3%
Apr 8, 12:00 AM UTC	86.2%	86.2%
Apr 7, 12:00 AM UTC	86.2%	86.2%
Apr 6, 12:00 AM UTC	85.9%	85.9%
Apr 5, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Apr 4, 12:00 AM UTC	90.3%	90.3%
Apr 3, 12:00 AM UTC	91.3%	91.3%
Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC	90.9%	90.9%
Mar 30, 12:00 AM UTC	90.9%	90.9%
Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Mar 28, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Mar 27, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Mar 26, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Mar 25, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Mar 24, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC	90.3%	90.3%
Mar 22, 12:00 AM UTC	85.4%	85.4%
Mar 21, 12:00 AM UTC	88.3%	88.3%
Mar 20, 12:00 AM UTC	84.2%	84.2%
Mar 19, 12:00 AM UTC	84.0%	84.0%
Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC	84.0%	84.0%
Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC	93.0%	93.0%
Mar 16, 12:00 AM UTC	93.0%	93.0%
Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC	93.4%	93.4%
Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC	93.5%	93.5%
Mar 13, 12:00 AM UTC	93.5%	93.5%
Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC	88.0%	88.0%

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC

99.2%

Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC

99.3%

Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC

99.4%

Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC

99.4%

Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC

99.6%

Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC

99.6%

Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC

99.6%

Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC

98.3%

Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC

98.7%

Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC

99.0%

Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC

98.8%

Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC

98.9%

Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC

98.7%

Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC

98.9%

Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC

99.0%

Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC

98.8%

Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC

98.9%

Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC

98.9%

Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC

98.7%

Aug 30, 12:00 AM UTC

97.8%

Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC

98.0%

Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC

98.0%

Aug 27, 12:00 AM UTC

97.7%

Aug 26, 12:00 AM UTC

97.9%

Aug 25, 12:00 AM UTC

97.5%

Aug 24, 12:00 AM UTC

97.9%

Aug 23, 12:00 AM UTC

95.5%

Aug 22, 12:00 AM UTC

95.2%

Aug 21, 12:00 AM UTC

95.8%

Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC

97.3%

Aug 19, 12:00 AM UTC

97.5%

Aug 18, 12:00 AM UTC

97.9%

Aug 17, 12:00 AM UTC

98.5%

Aug 16, 12:00 AM UTC

98.3%

Aug 15, 12:00 AM UTC

97.9%

Aug 14, 12:00 AM UTC

97.5%

Aug 13, 12:00 AM UTC

97.7%

Aug 12, 12:00 AM UTC

97.3%

Aug 11, 12:00 AM UTC

97.3%

Aug 10, 12:00 AM UTC

97.2%

Aug 9, 12:00 AM UTC

96.7%

Aug 8, 12:00 AM UTC

96.5%

Aug 7, 12:00 AM UTC

96.7%

Aug 6, 12:00 AM UTC

95.5%

Aug 5, 12:00 AM UTC

95.2%

Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC

95.7%

Aug 3, 12:00 AM UTC

95.8%

Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC

93.0%

Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC

92.4%

Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC

92.3%

Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC

92.1%

Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC

87.9%

Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC

87.8%

Jul 27, 12:00 AM UTC

86.8%

Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC

86.9%

Jul 25, 12:00 AM UTC

86.7%

Jul 24, 12:00 AM UTC

86.7%

Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC

86.8%

Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC

86.7%

Jul 21, 12:00 AM UTC

87.1%

Jul 20, 12:00 AM UTC

87.8%

Jul 19, 12:00 AM UTC

89.1%

Jul 18, 12:00 AM UTC

89.3%

Jul 17, 12:00 AM UTC

89.5%

Jul 16, 12:00 AM UTC

85.0%

Jul 15, 12:00 AM UTC

82.3%

Jul 14, 12:00 AM UTC

85.3%

Jul 13, 12:00 AM UTC

88.0%

Jul 12, 12:00 AM UTC

90.5%

Jul 11, 12:00 AM UTC

81.8%

Jul 10, 12:00 AM UTC

80.8%

Jul 9, 12:00 AM UTC

80.5%

Jul 8, 12:00 AM UTC

79.5%

Jul 7, 12:00 AM UTC

79.5%

Jul 6, 12:00 AM UTC

77.5%

Jul 5, 12:00 AM UTC

74.2%

Jul 4, 12:00 AM UTC

75.5%

Jul 3, 12:00 AM UTC

74.1%

Jul 2, 12:00 AM UTC

74.4%

Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC

74.1%

Jun 30, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Jun 29, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Jun 28, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 27, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 26, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 25, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 24, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 23, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 22, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 21, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 20, 12:00 AM UTC

73.0%

Jun 19, 12:00 AM UTC

78.8%

Jun 18, 12:00 AM UTC

78.8%

Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC

78.8%

Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC

78.8%

Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC

76.8%

Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC

74.0%

Jun 12, 12:00 AM UTC

62.5%

Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC

63.0%

Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC

65.0%

Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC

67.5%

Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC

68.0%

Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC

67.8%

Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC

67.3%

Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC

67.4%

Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC

62.5%

Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC

61.3%

Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC

61.3%

Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC

61.8%

May 31, 12:00 AM UTC

57.8%

May 30, 12:00 AM UTC

55.5%

May 29, 12:00 AM UTC

55.0%

May 28, 12:00 AM UTC

58.4%

May 27, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

May 26, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

May 25, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

May 24, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

May 23, 12:00 AM UTC

67.0%

May 22, 12:00 AM UTC

67.0%

May 21, 12:00 AM UTC

67.0%

May 20, 12:00 AM UTC

69.0%

May 19, 12:00 AM UTC

68.3%

May 18, 12:00 AM UTC

68.8%

May 17, 12:00 AM UTC

68.8%

May 16, 12:00 AM UTC

62.5%

May 15, 12:00 AM UTC

61.0%

May 14, 12:00 AM UTC

61.5%

May 13, 12:00 AM UTC

62.5%

May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

63.5%

May 11, 12:00 AM UTC

64.5%

May 10, 12:00 AM UTC

65.0%

May 9, 12:00 AM UTC

65.0%

May 8, 12:00 AM UTC

65.0%

May 7, 12:00 AM UTC

63.5%

May 6, 12:00 AM UTC

63.5%

May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

65.0%

May 4, 12:00 AM UTC

63.5%

May 3, 12:00 AM UTC

45.5%

May 2, 12:00 AM UTC

45.5%

May 1, 12:00 AM UTC

44.5%

Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC

44.0%

Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC

47.0%

Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC

47.5%

Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC

47.5%

Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC

53.0%

Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC

57.5%

Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC

62.0%

Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC

61.0%

Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC

59.0%

Apr 21, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

Apr 20, 12:00 AM UTC

58.5%

Apr 19, 12:00 AM UTC

64.0%

Apr 18, 12:00 AM UTC

63.0%

Apr 17, 12:00 AM UTC

68.3%

Apr 16, 12:00 AM UTC

68.7%

Apr 15, 12:00 AM UTC

68.3%

Apr 14, 12:00 AM UTC

68.3%

Apr 13, 12:00 AM UTC

68.5%

Apr 12, 12:00 AM UTC

70.5%

Apr 11, 12:00 AM UTC

73.0%

Apr 10, 12:00 AM UTC

85.3%

Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC

84.3%

Apr 8, 12:00 AM UTC

86.2%

Apr 7, 12:00 AM UTC

86.2%

Apr 6, 12:00 AM UTC

85.9%

Apr 5, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Apr 4, 12:00 AM UTC

90.3%

Apr 3, 12:00 AM UTC

91.3%

Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC

90.9%

Mar 30, 12:00 AM UTC

90.9%

Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Mar 28, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Mar 27, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Mar 26, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Mar 25, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Mar 24, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC

90.3%

Mar 22, 12:00 AM UTC

85.4%

Mar 21, 12:00 AM UTC

88.3%

Mar 20, 12:00 AM UTC

84.2%

Mar 19, 12:00 AM UTC

84.0%

Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

84.0%

Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

93.0%

Mar 16, 12:00 AM UTC

93.0%

Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC

93.4%

Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC

93.5%

Mar 13, 12:00 AM UTC

93.5%

Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC

88.0%