Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 12?

Market referenceethereum-above-4000-on-october-12Updated Oct 14, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Oct 12, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$159.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 12, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Oct 14, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Oct 14, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

97%

Yes / No shares

105.26 / 16.15K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

116

Loaded notional

$103.13K

Yes sell at 99.3%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-91 pts

Range

3.6% - 97.6%

Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC to Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 6 Oct 2025 – 12 Oct 2025

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
6 Oct 2025	94.5%
12 Oct 2025	3.6%

Remaining holders after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side; not live open interest.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	11.02K
nthdrg	No	1.5K
BIGTAT	No

Ethereum above ___ on October 12?

Analytics

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
6 Oct 2025	94.5%
12 Oct 2025	3.6%

Trader

Outcome

Bright Horizon 81D6

11.02K

nthdrg

1.5K

BIGTAT