Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 1?

Market referenceethereum-above-3000-on-january-1Updated Jan 3, 2026 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$98.3K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Jan 3, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 3, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

90%

Yes / No shares

15.74K / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

201

Loaded notional

$37.39K

No sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-20 pts

Range

30.5% - 51.0%

Dec 26, 12:00 AM UTC to Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 26 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
26 Dec 2025	51.0%
1 Jan 2026	31.5%

Remaining holders after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side; not live open interest.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
wooter	Yes	8.31K
Radiant-Walker	Yes	1.5K
Quiet Vector 49D7	Yes

Ethereum above ___ on January 1?

Analytics

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
26 Dec 2025	51.0%
1 Jan 2026	31.5%

Trader

Outcome

wooter

Yes

8.31K

Radiant-Walker

Yes

1.5K

Quiet Vector 49D7

Yes