What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Cloud Dawning on 1 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Cloud Dawning and Team Refuser in the ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 1 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud Dawning" if Cloud Dawning win the match against Team Refuser. This market will resolve to "Team Refuser" if Team Refuser win the match against Cloud Dawning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not… Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

4 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 2, 3:16 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-cloudd-ref-2026-05-01) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Cloud Dawning: Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Team Refuser (BO3)…

Market referencedota2-cloudd-ref-2026-05-01Updated May 2, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Cloud Dawning · settled May 1, 2026 UTC

Cloud Dawning

100.0%

Team Refuser

0.0%

Final Cloud Dawning 100¢Final Team Refuser 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.1K

Resolved

Cloud Dawning

Settled

May 1, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 10, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 2, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Cloud Dawning

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

0 / 796.63

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$1.93K

Cloud Dawning sell at 99.9%

History rangePrice history unavailable

Points

Move

Range

No price range loaded.

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Bright Kestrel 62B2	sell	Cloud Dawning	99.9%	12	May 1, 3:10 PM UTC
newlearner8069	sell

Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Team Refuser (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Team Refuser (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Team Refuser (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Cloud Dawning on 1 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Cloud Dawning and Team Refuser in the ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 1 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud Dawning" if Cloud Dawning win the match against Team Refuser. This market will resolve to "Team Refuser" if Team Refuser win the match against Cloud Dawning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not… Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

Bright Kestrel 62B2

sell

Cloud Dawning

99.9%

May 1, 3:10 PM UTC

newlearner8069

sell