Analytics
“1. FC Cologne to win the second half?” is a sports prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “1. FC Cologne vs. Hertha BSC - Second Half Result”. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
Trading ended on Jul 31, 2026 UTC and the venue has not yet reported a resolution. The last observed Yes price was 49.5¢ (49.5% implied). The outcome will be settled by the resolution source; until then the state is shown as awaiting resolution, not as resolved.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 61 daily price points from Jul 28, 2026 UTC to Sep 25, 2026 UTC (Yes between 49.0% and 50.0%); 2 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 61 points · 28 Jul 2026 – 25 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tinatina3 | Yes | 10 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10 |
In the upcoming Club Friendlies game between 1. FC Cologne and Hertha BSC, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Cologne" if 1. FC Cologne score more goals than Hertha BSC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if 1. FC Cologne and Hertha BSC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC score more goals than 1. FC Cologne in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clf-koe-bsc-2026-07-31-second-half-result
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.