What is the “Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month… Resolution source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

16 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 1, 2:21 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/cl-over-under-jun-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final…

Market referencecl-above-50-jun-2026Updated Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$10.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jul 1, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

97%

Yes / No shares

49.86 / 2.31K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

228

Wallets

Loaded notional

$6.86K

Yes buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

167

Move

+50 pts

Range

49.5% - 99.7%

Dec 27, 12:00 AM UTC to Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC	99.7%	99.7%
Jun 30, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%
Jun 29, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%

Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month… Resolution source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Jul 1, 12:00 AM UTC

99.7%

Jun 30, 12:00 AM UTC

99.6%

Jun 29, 12:00 AM UTC

99.6%