Will the price of Bitcoin be above $126,000 on October 15?

Market referencebitcoin-above-126k-on-october-15Updated Oct 16, 2025 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Oct 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$25.6K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 15, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Oct 17, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Oct 16, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

8.98K / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$15.9K

No buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 15, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-32 pts

Range

0.2% - 32.5%

Oct 9, 12:00 AM UTC to Oct 15, 12:00 AM UTC

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 9 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2025

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
9 Oct 2025	32.5%
15 Oct 2025	0.2%

Remaining holders after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side; not live open interest.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
PhongLeXBT	Yes	4.45K
cattalist	Yes	2.17K
Rugproof	Yes

Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?

Analytics

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
9 Oct 2025	32.5%
15 Oct 2025	0.2%

Trader

Outcome

PhongLeXBT

Yes

4.45K

cattalist

Yes

2.17K

Rugproof

Yes