Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 2?

Market referencebitcoin-above-104k-on-november-2Updated Nov 4, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Nov 2, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$77.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 2, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 4, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 4, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

87%

Yes / No shares

7.5 / 27.41K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

311

Wallets

206

Loaded notional

$37.68K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+5.1 pts

Range

90.3% - 99.9%

Oct 27, 12:00 AM UTC to Nov 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 27 Oct 2025 – 2 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 85%–100%

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
27 Oct 2025	94.8%
2 Nov 2025	99.9%

Remaining holders after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side; not live open interest.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
qqqq88888	No	6.5K
stuie	No	5K
Bright Horizon 81D6	No

Bitcoin above ___ on November 2?

Analytics

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
27 Oct 2025	94.8%
2 Nov 2025	99.9%

Trader

Outcome

qqqq88888

6.5K

stuie

Bright Horizon 81D6