Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Name: Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

politicsResolved

No, settled Aug 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4M

Resolved

Settled

Aug 4, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Aug 3, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC	0.5%	0.5%
Jul 27, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC	0.7%	0.7%
Jul 25, 12:00 AM UTC	3.4%	3.4%
Jul 24, 12:00 AM UTC	5.0%	5.0%
Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC	5.3%	5.3%
Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC	4.8%	4.8%
Jul 21, 12:00 AM UTC	6.3%	6.3%
Jul 20, 12:00 AM UTC	7.4%	7.4%
Jul 19, 12:00 AM UTC	8.9%	8.9%
Jul 18, 12:00 AM UTC	10.7%	10.7%
Jul 17, 12:00 AM UTC	11.2%	11.2%
Jul 16, 12:00 AM UTC	4.9%	4.9%
Jul 15, 12:00 AM UTC	4.5%	4.5%
Jul 14, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%

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