What is the “Australian Open Final: Medvedev vs. Sinner” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Australian Open Final: Medvedev vs. Sinner Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Sinner on 28 Jan 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

The Men's Final of the Australian Open is scheduled to take place at twilight on January 28, 2024, between Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner. This market will resolve to "Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins the Men's Final of the 2024 Australian Open. This market will resolve to "Sinner" if Jannik Sinner wins the Men's Final of the 2024 Australian Open. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian Open (ex: https://ausopen.com/) including live footage, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

1 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 29, 12:41 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/australian-open-final-medvedev-vs-sinner) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Sinner: Australian Open Final: Medvedev vs. Sinner

Market referenceaustralian-open-final-medvedev-vs-sinnerUpdated Jan 29, 2024 UTC

Resolved

Sinner · settled Jan 28, 2024 UTC

Medvedev

0.0%

Sinner

100.0%

Final Medvedev 0¢Final Sinner 100¢

Lifetime volume

$46.3K

Resolved

Sinner

Settled

Jan 28, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Mar 22, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 29, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Sinner

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

9.28 / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

123

Wallets

Loaded notional

$25.32K

Sinner buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-1.0 pts

Range

28.5% - 29.5%

Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC to Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
albertcamus - 33005	Medvedev	9.28	54.2%	$9.28	Jan 28, 9:33 AM UTC
I 33	Medvedev	0.01	54.6%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Australian Open Final: Medvedev vs. Sinner” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Australian Open Final: Medvedev vs. Sinner Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Sinner on 28 Jan 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: The Men's Final of the Australian Open is scheduled to take place at twilight on January 28, 2024, between Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner. This market will resolve to "Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins the Men's Final of the 2024 Australian Open. This market will resolve to "Sinner" if Jannik Sinner wins the Men's Final of the 2024 Australian Open. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian Open (ex: https://ausopen.com/) including live footage, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

albertcamus - 33005

Medvedev

9.28

54.2%

$9.28

Jan 28, 9:33 AM UTC

I 33

Medvedev

0.01

54.6%