Resolved Under: Bailly vs. Hemery: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Vultax
Bailly vs. Hemery: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Market referenceatp-bailly-hemery-2026-09-07-first-set-total-9pt5Updated 18d ago
Resolved
Under · settled Sep 7, 2026 UTCtennissports
Over
0.0%
Under
100.0%
Final Over 0¢Final Under 100¢
Resolved
Under
Settled
Sep 7, 2026 UTC
About this market
The question, the state of play, and how it settles
Facts updated 18d ago
“Bailly vs. Hemery: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Over and Under. It belongs to the event “Seville: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Calvin Hemery”. The Over price is the market's implied probability that Over wins. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved Under on 7 Sep 2026. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Timeline
Event starts
Sep 5, 2026 UTC
Resolved
Sep 7, 2026 UTC
Event startsSep 5, 2026 UTC
ResolvedSep 7, 2026 UTC
Outcomes
Over
0.0¢ · 0.0%
Under
100.0¢ · 100.0%
Resolution rules
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
16d ago
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
18d ago
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Resolved
Order book
Captured book available
Final outcome
Under
The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
Wallets
Top 10 share
Yes / No shares
The provider top-holder sample is currently unavailable.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
0
Wallets
0
Loaded notional
Field guide
How to read this market
9 stops
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
01
Yes and No prices
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Final prices
Over 0.0¢ · Under 100.0¢
02
Implied probability
Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 7 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–55%
Over price, first and last observation
Observed
Over price
7 Sep 2026
50.0%
Remaining holders after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side; not live open interest.
Top-holder sample unavailable
The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.
Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.
No trader leaderboard
Market-scoped trader rows are not available for this market.
What is the “Bailly vs. Hemery: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Bailly vs. Hemery: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Seville: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Calvin Hemery”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?
It resolved Under on 7 Sep 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Calvin Hemery in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Calvin Hemery. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Calvin Hemery in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
1
Move
0.0 pts
Range
50.0% - 50.0%
Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC to Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Yes chance
0.0%
03
24h volume
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
04
Liquidity
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
05
Spread
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
06
Top holders and concentration
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
07
Trade tape
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
08
Price history
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
09
Close and resolution
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
Settled 7 Sep 2026
Resolved · Under
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Calvin Hemery in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Calvin Hemery.
This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
EvidenceMarket-scoped source, creator, and related-market links.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 7, 7:55 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/atp-bailly-hemery-2026-09-07) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
