Artemis II booster rupture?

Name: Artemis II booster rupture? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Awaiting resolution

Ended Mar 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

10.0%

90.0%

Observed Yes 10¢Observed No 90¢

Lifetime volume

$81.3K

Ended

Mar 31, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Feb 16, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Feb 16, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%
Feb 15, 12:00 AM UTC	8.2%	8.2%
Feb 14, 12:00 AM UTC	7.2%	7.2%
Feb 13, 12:00 AM UTC	7.2%	7.2%
Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC	10.1%	10.1%
Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC	11.2%	11.2%
Feb 10, 12:00 AM UTC	10.7%	10.7%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM UTC	9.4%	9.4%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM UTC	8.1%	8.1%
Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC	7.3%	7.3%
Feb 6, 12:00 AM UTC	7.2%	7.2%
Feb 5, 12:00 AM UTC	10.1%	10.1%
Feb 4, 12:00 AM UTC	11.8%	11.8%
Feb 3, 12:00 AM UTC	11.9%	11.9%
Feb 2, 12:00 AM UTC	10.8%	10.8%
Feb 1, 12:00 AM UTC	16.6%	16.6%
Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC	24.1%	24.1%
Jan 30, 12:00 AM UTC	17.8%	17.8%
Jan 29, 12:00 AM UTC	9.6%	9.6%
Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC	5.5%	5.5%
Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC	8.5%	8.5%
Jan 26, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Jan 25, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC	19.5%	19.5%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC	22.5%	22.5%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC	21.0%	21.0%
Jan 21, 12:00 AM UTC	23.5%	23.5%

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