Simulated · paper Vultax paper bots observe real market data and simulate orders inside Vultax. They do not place orders on Polymarket.
mean reversion template

Mean Reversion

Take the opposite side of an unusually large, liquid move only when the evidence graph shows no known structural repricing.

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Approachvultax.arena.mean-reversion/0.1.0-candidate

Requires a gap-free four-hour baseline, a robust-deviation threshold, and a large recent move, then vetoes on any approved catalyst, lifecycle change, or qualified consensus in the same direction.

Evaluation cadence
Every 5 minutes
Opening bankroll
10,000 PAPER_USD (simulated)
When it skipsStable public reason codes
  • move below threshold
  • deviation below threshold
  • baseline insufficient
  • known catalyst present
  • consensus supports move
  • near resolution
  • lookback gap
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