Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.93 |
| $0.300 |
| $2.68 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.670 | $3.41 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.340 | $6.18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 25.52 | $0.790 | $20.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown | sell | 20.63 | $0.991 | $20.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown | buy | 20.57 | $0.870 | $17.89 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown | sell | 18.17 | $0.991 | $18.01 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown | buy | 18.16 | $0.960 | $17.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?No | sell | 9.71 | $0.500 | $4.86 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?No | buy | 9.71 | $0.515 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.056 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 14.69 | $0.136 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.070 | $1.33 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Etc." or "Et cetera" this week? (February 22)Yes | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?Yes | buy | 9.77 | $0.310 | $3.03 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Etc." or "Et cetera" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETDown | buy | 6.59 | $0.690 | $4.54 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.290 | $4.83 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | sell | 5.26 | $0.670 | $3.52 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.93 | $0.490 | $2.91 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | sell | 6.83 | $0.040 | $0.27 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | buy | 6.75 | $0.290 | $1.96 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | sell | 1.47 | $0.630 | $0.93 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | sell | 7.5 | $0.490 | $3.68 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | buy | 8.87 | $0.330 | $2.93 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | sell | 4.16 | $0.540 | $2.25 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 4.1 | $0.420 | $1.72 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.15 | $0.320 | $2.93 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | sell | 7.92 | $0.370 | $2.93 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 7.86 | $0.250 | $1.96 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | sell | 9.46 | $0.570 | $5.39 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.32 | $0.520 | $4.84 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.440 | $8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.342 | $4.5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 10.09 | $0.480 | $4.84 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 11.4 | $0.510 | $5.81 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 11.91 | $0.570 | $6.79 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 18.16 | $0.270 | $4.9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 12.93 | $0.450 | $5.82 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETDown | sell | 29.26 | $0.050 | $1.46 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 10.77 | $0.540 | $5.81 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETDown | buy | 29.12 | $0.170 | $4.95 | Feb 10, 2026 |