Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | sell | 2.33 | $0.700 | $1.63 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes| buy |
| 2.34 |
| $0.710 |
| $1.66 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 7.37 | $0.521 | $3.84 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 7.38 | $0.530 | $3.91 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.741 | $4.08 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.749 | $4.12 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?Up | sell | 4.66 | $0.490 | $2.28 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?Up | buy | 4.66 | $0.500 | $2.33 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.42 | $0.530 | $1.81 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.540 | $1.85 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.45 | $0.300 | $1.34 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.45 | $0.310 | $1.38 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 2.74 | $0.380 | $1.04 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.620 | $3.67 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.390 | $1.07 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.630 | $3.73 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 9.27 | $0.461 | $4.27 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 9.27 | $0.468 | $4.34 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.460 | $1.06 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.470 | $1.09 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.601 | $3.9 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.676 | $4.39 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.97 | $0.700 | $2.78 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.97 | $0.710 | $2.82 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.500 | $1.2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.480 | $1.15 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?No | sell | 3.39 | $0.461 | $1.56 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.469 | $1.59 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?Yes | sell | 6.77 | $0.500 | $3.39 | May 15, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?Yes | buy | 6.77 | $0.620 | $4.2 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.720 | $2.4 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.740 | $2.47 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | sell | 6.13 | $0.640 | $3.92 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 6.14 | $0.660 | $4.05 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.670 | $1.41 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.680 | $1.43 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.670 | $4.23 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.680 | $4.3 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?Yes | sell | 5.04 | $0.450 | $2.27 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.470 | $2.37 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 3.76 | $0.630 | $2.37 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.660 | $2.48 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 4.22 | $0.260 | $1.1 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.270 | $1.14 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 2.52 | $0.630 | $1.59 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.650 | $1.64 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.450 | $1.45 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.480 | $1.55 | Feb 26, 2025 |