Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 19.23 | $0.520 | $15.29 | +$5.29 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 5d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 108.7 |
| $0.920 |
| $100 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.31 | $0.770 | $39.51 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 83.73 | $0.930 | $77.87 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 110.62 | $0.904 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes | sell | 56.17 | $0.990 | $55.61 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.810 | $60 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.95 | $0.730 | $35 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 151.11 | $0.900 | $136 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 8.23 | $0.570 | $4.69 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.412 | $4.58 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 34.06 | $0.863 | $29.41 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 20.89 | $0.440 | $9.19 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 28.19 | $0.320 | $9.02 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | sell | 100.82 | $0.620 | $62.51 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 48.48 | $0.277 | $13.44 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 39.56 | $0.729 | $28.83 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 35.64 | $0.820 | $29.22 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 24.02 | $0.810 | $19.45 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 32.52 | $0.423 | $13.75 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 53.72 | $0.920 | $49.42 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 94.05 | $0.950 | $89.35 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 16.15 | $0.950 | $15.34 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 15.03 | $0.630 | $9.47 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 15.97 | $0.930 | $14.85 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 17.63 | $0.830 | $14.63 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp | buy | 9.64 | $0.480 | $4.63 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 6.43 | $0.750 | $4.82 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 160.94 | $0.999 | $160.78 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 55.25 | $0.905 | $50 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.71 | $0.870 | $4.97 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 21.45 | $0.683 | $14.65 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 20.18 | $0.480 | $9.69 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.683 | $9.77 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 160.94 | $0.932 | $150 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 29.17 | $0.850 | $24.8 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 186.86 | $0.990 | $184.99 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | sell | 29.93 | $0.181 | $5.4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 29.56 | $0.660 | $19.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 19.65 | $0.750 | $14.74 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 8.09 | $0.600 | $4.86 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 8.23 | $0.590 | $4.85 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETDown | buy | 151.51 | $0.990 | $149.99 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 159.27 | $0.879 | $140 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 21.03 | $0.950 | $19.98 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 18.51 | $0.800 | $14.81 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 17.9 | $0.340 | $6.09 | Feb 14, 2026 |