Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.95K | $0.900 | $6.26K | Feb 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.95K |
| $0.080 |
| $556.16 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.95K | $0.018 | $125.14 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 273.73 | $0.080 | $21.9 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 273.73 | $0.018 | $4.93 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 273.73 | $0.900 | $246.36 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.017 | $17 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25 | $0.986 | $24.65 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.013 | $0.33 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 115 | $0.986 | $113.39 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.012 | $1.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.986 | $1.97K | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.011 | $22.14 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 164.72 | $0.110 | $18.12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 164.72 | $0.880 | $144.95 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 723.13 | $0.001 | $0.72 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 328.27 | $0.695 | $228.19 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | sell | 328.27 | $0.230 | $75.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.316 | $132.72 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.684 | $287.28 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.316 | $632 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.684 | $1.37K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.316 | $632 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.684 | $1.37K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 393.78 | $0.315 | $124.04 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 393.78 | $0.684 | $269.35 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 31.26 | $0.260 | $8.13 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 31.26 | $0.730 | $22.82 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 160.86 | $0.250 | $40.22 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 160.86 | $0.736 | $118.42 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 81.28 | $0.250 | $20.32 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 81.28 | $0.728 | $59.13 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 54.87 | $0.250 | $13.72 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 54.87 | $0.710 | $38.96 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 367.13 | $0.380 | $139.51 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 356 | $0.390 | $138.84 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 165.55 | $0.080 | $13.24 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 165.55 | $0.013 | $2.15 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 165.55 | $0.900 | $149 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 519.01 | $0.963 | $500 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.958 | $1K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.953 | $1K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Flying Tulip launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 211.12 | $0.947 | $200 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 526.67 | $0.316 | $166.43 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 526.67 | $0.684 | $360.24 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 282.24 | $0.684 | $193.05 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 282.24 | $0.315 | $88.91 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 2.3 | $0.682 | $1.57 | Jan 29, 2026 |